Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-37 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026
Rojas, Miguel
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team LAD
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 37
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.298 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.308 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.301 |
| Observed weight | 35% |
xwOBA
0.273
0.286
0.301
0.316
0.330
wOBA
0.349
0.377
0.408
0.438
0.466
ISO
0.090
0.108
0.128
0.149
0.167
K%
9.6%
11.3%
13.1%
15.0%
16.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.0%
20
Barrel%3.4%
27
+15 vs proj
Bat speed66.3
14
Exit velocity84.8
13
Hard-hit%33.7%
25
K%11.1%
96
xBA0.321
46
xSLG0.414
18
xwOBA0.308
48
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · SS
34
Arm Strength85.9 · SS
54
Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS
71
Range Runs2.9 · SS
85
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · SS
21
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.1% · rebadged research
33
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.4% · rebadged research
22
Correct Decisions62.9% · rebadged research
20
Mithrandir Stuff+68
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · borderline
69
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
45
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
70
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.353 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
33
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339 · validated
88
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
20
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
93 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.014 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.114 |
| Sample | 117 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 408 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.265 to 0.331 | +/- 0.033 |
| ISO | 0.099 | 0.077 to 0.188 | +/- 0.056 |
| Barrel% | 1.9% | 1.3% to 4.3% | +/- 1.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.8% | 24.1% to 36.0% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 13.8% | 10.6% to 20.6% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 5.3% to 10.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.281 | 0.243 to 0.331 | +/- 0.044 |
vs LHP
1220 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.248 |
| K% | 8.7% |
| BB% | 6.4% |
| Barrel | 2.5% |
vs RHP
2936 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.233 |
| K% | 10.3% |
| BB% | 5.3% |
| Barrel | 2.0% |