Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-37 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
D'Arnaud, Travis
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team LAA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 37
Status IL-10
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.337 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.303 |
| Observed weight | 18% |
xwOBA
0.256
0.278
0.303
0.327
0.349
wOBA
0.272
0.314
0.361
0.408
0.450
ISO
0.083
0.113
0.146
0.179
0.209
K%
22.5%
24.9%
27.5%
30.1%
32.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Pop Time1.9 · C
62
Blocking Runs0.4 · C
Limited
Catcher Throwing0.1 · C
Limited
Framing Runs-2.1 · C
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · C
6
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.8% · rebadged research
52
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.8% · rebadged research
25
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
37
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
35
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
46
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
55
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
39
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
31 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 354 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.292 | 0.242 to 0.349 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.155 | 0.089 to 0.240 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 3.3% to 8.8% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.3% | 32.7% to 50.0% | +/- 8.6% |
| K% | 29.1% | 23.3% to 35.0% | +/- 5.9% |
| BB% | 6.4% | 4.1% to 10.3% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.279 | 0.207 to 0.330 | +/- 0.061 |
vs LHP
802 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.241 |
| K% | 20.9% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 5.3% |
vs RHP
2533 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.220 |
| K% | 21.8% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 4.6% |