Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026

Freeman, Freddie

On-base driven regular with stable floor

Primary
0.362 xwOBA
Range
0.318 to 0.413
Live Δ
yes
Team LAD Archetype Balanced regular Age 37 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
xwOBA preseason0.357
xwOBA current pace0.373
xwOBA rolling p500.366
Observed weight55%
xwOBA
0.336 0.350 0.366 0.381 0.395
wOBA
0.349 0.367 0.387 0.407 0.425
ISO
0.151 0.167 0.185 0.204 0.220
K%
15.2% 16.4% 17.7% 19.0% 20.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%12.3%
82 +22 vs proj
Barrel%7.8%
81
Bat speed69.0
40
Exit velocity91.5
88
Hard-hit%46.8%
80 +20 vs proj
K%16.7%
81
xBA0.342
67
xSLG0.614
77
xwOBA0.373
90
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 1B
71
Range Runs0.7 · 1B
58
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · 1B
45
Sprint Speed25.0 · 1B
6
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Limited
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-02
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8% · rebadged research
71
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.2% · rebadged research
91
Correct Decisions72.3% · rebadged research
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
90
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
48
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.299 · insufficient sample
8
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257 · validated thin sample
92
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.380 · insufficient sample
1
Resists FastballwOBA 0.363 · validated
15
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
54
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Freeman, Freddie · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.3782026-05-21: 0.3812026-05-23: 0.3792026-05-24: 0.3852026-05-25: 0.3832026-05-26: 0.3832026-05-28: 0.3902026-05-29: 0.3902026-05-30: 0.3902026-05-31: 0.3862026-06-01: 0.3762026-06-02: 0.373 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

184 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Freeman, Freddie · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 72% of plotted batted ballsCenter 72%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA -9.02026-03-15 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 74.9 / LA 1.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.1 / LA -21.02026-03-16 · single · SV · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 0.02026-03-18 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 31.02026-03-18 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -19.02026-03-18 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 3.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -17.02026-03-20 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 88.1 / LA 11.02026-03-20 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 95.2 / LA 16.02026-03-22 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 16.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 31.02026-03-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.8 / LA 3.02026-03-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -5.02026-03-24 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 43.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 31.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 3.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 5.02026-03-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 31.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 39.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 30.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -6.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 32.02026-03-28 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.8 / LA 16.02026-03-28 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 96.8 / LA 11.02026-03-28 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 4.02026-03-28 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 30.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -30.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.2 / LA -10.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA -26.02026-03-30 · field out · ST · popup · EV 87.6 / LA 73.02026-03-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 10.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 52.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 30.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 5.02026-04-01 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -15.02026-04-01 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -5.02026-04-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 28.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 2.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 55.6 / LA -29.02026-04-03 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.0 / LA 41.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 54.02026-04-04 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 22.02026-04-04 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 30.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 37.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 29.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.2 / LA -20.02026-04-05 · single · SV · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 13.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.1 / LA 8.02026-04-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 77.1 / LA 48.02026-04-05 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 90.3 / LA 20.02026-04-06 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.5 / LA 35.02026-04-06 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 108.3 / LA 18.02026-04-06 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 28.02026-04-07 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 48.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 30.02026-04-07 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 108.3 / LA -1.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 4.02026-04-08 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 83.2 / LA 11.02026-04-08 · double play · SL · line_drive · EV 90.0 / LA 12.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 54.1 / LA 8.02026-04-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 3.02026-04-10 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -14.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 56.02026-04-11 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 110.3 / LA 14.02026-04-11 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.0 / LA -16.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 6.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 18.02026-04-12 · single · CU · popup · EV 90.6 / LA 69.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 39.02026-04-13 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA -7.02026-04-13 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 13.02026-04-13 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 14.02026-04-14 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 71.2 / LA -48.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 21.02026-04-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 8.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 42.02026-04-15 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 11.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 15.02026-04-17 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 22.02026-04-17 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 61.4 / LA -22.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 27.02026-04-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 7.02026-04-18 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 80.4 / LA 18.02026-04-18 · triple · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 27.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 30.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -21.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA -11.02026-04-22 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -7.02026-04-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 47.02026-04-22 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 78.3 / LA 39.02026-04-22 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -15.02026-04-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -39.02026-04-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -14.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 83.8 / LA 26.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -11.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -5.02026-04-24 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 21.02026-04-24 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 77.9 / LA -69.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 41.02026-04-25 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 46.02026-04-25 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 107.2 / LA 8.02026-04-25 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 75.1 / LA -59.02026-04-26 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 79.0 / LA 32.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -9.02026-04-27 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.7 / LA 36.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -27.02026-04-27 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 104.3 / LA 21.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA -9.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -31.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -18.02026-04-28 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 12.02026-04-29 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA -28.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 17.02026-04-29 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 4.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA -38.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 38.02026-05-01 · field out · FC · popup · EV 77.9 / LA 59.02026-05-01 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 109.2 / LA 13.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 11.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 41.02026-05-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.5 / LA 17.02026-05-02 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 8.02026-05-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA -24.02026-05-03 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 106.7 / LA 9.02026-05-03 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 34.02026-05-03 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -5.02026-05-04 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 9.02026-05-04 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 17.02026-05-05 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 22.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -2.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 29.02026-05-06 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 64.5 / LA -50.02026-05-06 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 88.2 / LA 20.02026-05-08 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 24.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 41.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -19.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 55.3 / LA -46.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 54.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 72.1 / LA -72.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 51.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · popup · EV 93.8 / LA 77.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 28.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA -16.02026-05-11 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 7.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -10.02026-05-11 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 15.02026-05-12 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -17.02026-05-12 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 91.0 / LA 19.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA -26.02026-05-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 11.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA 1.02026-05-14 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 12.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA -4.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA -11.02026-05-16 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 87.4 / LA 13.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.0 / LA 2.02026-05-16 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 44.02026-05-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 50.9 / LA 42.02026-05-17 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA -3.02026-05-19 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 28.02026-05-19 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 33.02026-05-20 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 82.0 / LA 51.02026-05-20 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 0.02026-05-20 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 2.02026-05-20 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 11.02026-05-23 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 85.4 / LA 7.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 35.02026-05-25 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 28.02026-05-25 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.9 / LA -5.02026-05-26 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 70.2 / LA 20.02026-05-26 · sac fly · KC · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 23.02026-05-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 0.02026-05-27 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 28.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 11.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.2 / LA -36.02026-05-27 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 0.02026-05-31 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 95.2 / LA 21.02026-05-31 · sac fly · FC · line_drive · EV 94.5 / LA 21.02026-05-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 3.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.5 / LA 3.02026-06-01 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.3 / LA -11.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 56.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 8.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Freeman, Freddie · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 42.4° Length 6.8 ft Ideal path 46% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Freeman, Freddie · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 8.8° Direction -0.4° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Freeman, Freddie · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 71.2 mph Hard swing rate 12% Whiff / swing 14% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Freeman, Freddie · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
3
templated note
Age-37 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.011
wOBA Δ+0.025
Sample269 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances628----
Home Runs23----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3620.318 to 0.413+/- 0.047
ISO0.1880.136 to 0.270+/- 0.067
Barrel%6.9%4.8% to 9.2%+/- 2.2%
Hard-Hit%42.3%36.6% to 49.6%+/- 6.5%
K%18.8%16.1% to 24.5%+/- 4.2%
BB%9.5%7.5% to 12.9%+/- 2.7%
BABIP0.3250.299 to 0.378+/- 0.040
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

2150 career PA

xwOBA0.304
K%17.9%
BB%6.9%
Barrel6.4%
vs RHP

5043 career PA

xwOBA0.330
K%16.0%
BB%9.8%
Barrel6.4%