Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-36 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / AZ · 2026
McCann, James
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team AZ
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 36
Status IL-10
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.208 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.285 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
xwOBA
0.245
0.264
0.285
0.306
0.325
wOBA
0.237
0.270
0.306
0.342
0.374
ISO
0.105
0.131
0.160
0.189
0.215
K%
19.7%
22.1%
24.7%
27.4%
29.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%1.4%
0
-19 vs proj
Barrel%10.8%
96
+49 vs proj
Bat speed70.3
61
Exit velocity89.3
60
Hard-hit%50.0%
90
+42 vs proj
K%25.7%
32
xBA0.254
6
xSLG0.397
15
xwOBA0.208
2
-38 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.2 · C
43
Catcher Throwing0.5 · C
59
Framing Runs-1.3 · C
28
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
80
Pop Time2.0 · C
23
Range Runs0.1 · C
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · C
11
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.6% · rebadged research
11
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 37.2% · rebadged research
3
Correct Decisions57.6% · rebadged research
6
Mithrandir Stuff+43
0
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
77
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
46
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
60
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
93
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
87
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
28
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline83
4
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
54 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.093 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.005 |
| Sample | 74 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 293 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.301 | 0.250 to 0.349 | +/- 0.050 |
| ISO | 0.149 | 0.091 to 0.235 | +/- 0.072 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 2.6% to 8.0% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.8% | 33.6% to 49.7% | +/- 8.1% |
| K% | 23.0% | 19.5% to 32.1% | +/- 6.3% |
| BB% | 5.8% | 3.5% to 8.8% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.280 | 0.209 to 0.325 | +/- 0.058 |
vs LHP
1100 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.220 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 3.4% |
| Barrel | 4.2% |
vs RHP
2416 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.204 |
| K% | 17.6% |
| BB% | 3.7% |
| Barrel | 3.3% |