Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-36 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / AZ · 2026
McCann, James
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team AZ
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 36
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
45
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.218 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.286 |
| Observed weight | 27% |
xwOBA
0.247
0.265
0.286
0.307
0.326
wOBA
0.292
0.324
0.360
0.396
0.429
ISO
0.123
0.149
0.177
0.206
0.232
K%
19.6%
21.9%
24.5%
27.1%
29.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%11.1%
99
+51 vs proj
Exit velocity88.7
57
Hard-hit%48.3%
87
+34 vs proj
xBA0.256
6
xSLG0.422
19
xwOBA0.218
3
-40 vs proj
BB%1.2%
1
-18 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
63
K%24.7%
39
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.1 · C
43
Catcher Throwing0.3 · C
65
Framing Runs-2.7 · C
22
Outs Above Avg0.0 · C
65
Pop Time2.0 · C
21
Range Runs0.1 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · C
10
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.6% · rebadged research
10
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 37.2% · rebadged research
3
Correct Decisions57.6% · rebadged research
5
Mithrandir Stuff+47
0
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.276 · borderline
77
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
48
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
61
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample
92
Resists FastballwOBA 0.318 · validated
86
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline80
4
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
54 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.082 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.060 |
| Sample | 81 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 293 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.301 | 0.250 to 0.349 | +/- 0.050 |
| ISO | 0.149 | 0.091 to 0.235 | +/- 0.072 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 2.6% to 8.0% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.8% | 33.6% to 49.7% | +/- 8.1% |
| K% | 23.0% | 19.5% to 32.1% | +/- 6.3% |
| BB% | 5.8% | 3.5% to 8.8% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.280 | 0.209 to 0.325 | +/- 0.058 |
vs LHP
1100 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.220 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 3.4% |
| Barrel | 4.2% |
vs RHP
2416 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.204 |
| K% | 17.6% |
| BB% | 3.7% |
| Barrel | 3.3% |