Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.272 vs 0.234 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Grichuk, Randal
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team CWS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 35
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
87
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.330 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.321 |
| Observed weight | 52% |
xwOBA
0.292
0.306
0.321
0.336
0.350
wOBA
0.335
0.354
0.375
0.396
0.415
ISO
0.175
0.193
0.213
0.233
0.251
K%
18.9%
20.6%
22.4%
24.2%
25.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.3%
89
+22 vs proj
Exit velocity91.1
88
Hard-hit%48.0%
89
+15 vs proj
xBA0.367
92
xSLG0.625
86
xwOBA0.330
77
+19 vs proj
BB%4.2%
10
Bat speed72.4
83
K%23.3%
47
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · LF
38
Arm Strength91.3 · LF
28
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
49
Range Runs-1.1 · LF
35
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · LF
44
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.4% · rebadged research
34
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.4% · rebadged research
47
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
41
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
9
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
29
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.295 · validated thin sample
18
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
27
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated
26
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
35
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
109 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.018 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.064 |
| Sample | 240 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 383 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.311 | 0.271 to 0.357 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.166 | 0.112 to 0.251 | +/- 0.069 |
| Barrel% | 6.0% | 4.1% to 8.6% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.4% | 39.6% to 53.1% | +/- 6.7% |
| K% | 22.2% | 16.4% to 28.9% | +/- 6.2% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 4.9% to 9.5% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.282 | 0.222 to 0.335 | +/- 0.057 |
vs LHP
1638 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.272 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 5.5% |
| Barrel | 6.4% |
vs RHP
3192 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.234 |
| K% | 16.3% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 4.7% |