Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.256 vs 0.224 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Age-36 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
Farmer, Kyle
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team ATL
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 36
Status IL-10
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.284 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.247 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.280 |
| Observed weight | 13% |
xwOBA
0.236
0.256
0.280
0.303
0.323
wOBA
0.219
0.268
0.323
0.378
0.428
ISO
0.081
0.114
0.150
0.185
0.218
K%
17.8%
20.3%
23.2%
26.0%
28.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B · small sample regression applied
53
Regression applied
Range Runs0.3 · 3B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.3
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 44.4% · rebadged research
2
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 42.9% · rebadged research
2
Correct Decisions52.0% · rebadged research
2
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
59
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
21
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
61
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
40
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline69
1
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
24 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 389 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.270 | 0.226 to 0.322 | +/- 0.048 |
| ISO | 0.122 | 0.079 to 0.236 | +/- 0.078 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 2.0% to 6.2% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.5% | 28.7% to 42.3% | +/- 6.8% |
| K% | 23.4% | 18.2% to 30.2% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 6.2% | 4.7% to 9.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.266 | 0.206 to 0.321 | +/- 0.057 |
vs LHP
860 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.256 |
| K% | 16.5% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |
vs RHP
1698 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.224 |
| K% | 17.7% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 2.8% |