Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 6 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026

Hernández, Enrique

Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach

Primary
0.284 xwOBA
Range
0.252 to 0.338
Live Δ
yes
Team LAD Archetype Balanced regular Age 35 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-06
48
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
39
Defense1 metrics
46
Speed1 metrics
28
Plate skills11 metrics
30
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-06
xwOBA preseason0.286
xwOBA current pace0.267
xwOBA rolling p500.282
Observed weight21%
xwOBA
0.245 0.262 0.282 0.302 0.319
wOBA
0.205 0.240 0.280 0.319 0.355
ISO
0.086 0.110 0.136 0.163 0.187
K%
21.2% 23.4% 25.9% 28.4% 30.6%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-06
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
54 +21 vs proj
Exit velocity88.4
56
Hard-hit%38.9%
52
xBA0.319
51
xSLG0.519
57
xwOBA0.267
17
BB%6.8%
30
Bat speed67.8
28
K%32.2%
9 -26 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
46
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
Small sample
Range Runs-0.6 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · 3B
28
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-06
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.0% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.0% · rebadged research
18
Correct Decisions56.8% · rebadged research
4
Mithrandir Stuff+66
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
72
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
69
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
26
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
58
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline86
6
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

4 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Hernández, Enrique · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.267 2026-09-03: 0.2682026-09-04: 0.2672026-09-05: 0.2682026-09-06: 0.267 2026-09-03 2026-09-06 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

26 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Hernández, Enrique · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsPull 19%Center field third: 69% of plotted batted ballsCenter 69%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-05-25 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 58.3 / LA -56.02026-05-25 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 6.02026-05-26 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 22.02026-05-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 35.02026-07-31 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 13.02026-07-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA -13.02026-08-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -7.02026-08-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 40.02026-08-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 1.02026-08-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA -10.02026-08-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.0 / LA -39.02026-08-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 37.02026-08-19 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 90.1 / LA 15.02026-08-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 46.02026-08-19 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 43.02026-08-21 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 22.02026-08-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 27.02026-08-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 81.8 / LA -21.02026-08-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 14.02026-09-01 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 6.02026-09-03 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA -3.02026-09-03 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 62.0 / LA -13.02026-09-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 41.02026-09-04 · field out · FF · popup · EV 81.8 / LA 76.02026-09-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 10.02026-09-05 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 66.3 / LA 1.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Hernández, Enrique · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 37%37%Whiff: 28%28%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 72%72%Hard hit: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
hitter
2
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.018
wOBA Δ-0.005
Sample59 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances412----
Home Runs12----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2840.252 to 0.338+/- 0.043
ISO0.1190.080 to 0.204+/- 0.062
Barrel%3.8%2.2% to 6.8%+/- 2.3%
Hard-Hit%36.8%30.9% to 46.7%+/- 7.9%
K%25.6%19.3% to 30.5%+/- 5.6%
BB%6.5%4.8% to 10.1%+/- 2.6%
BABIP0.2760.218 to 0.318+/- 0.050
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1743 career PA

xwOBA0.239
K%15.8%
BB%6.2%
Barrel4.4%
vs RHP

2727 career PA

xwOBA0.214
K%20.0%
BB%5.0%
Barrel3.0%