Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026
Hernández, Enrique
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team LAD
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 35
Status IL-10
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.286 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.780 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.295 |
| Observed weight | 2% |
xwOBA
0.253
0.273
0.295
0.317
0.337
wOBA
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
ISO
0.093
0.122
0.154
0.186
0.215
K%
18.3%
20.9%
23.8%
26.7%
29.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-0.1 · 3B · small sample regression applied
37
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.5 · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 42.9% · rebadged research
1
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 50.0% · rebadged research
1
Correct Decisions41.7% · rebadged research
1
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
26
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.359 · validated
19
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline62
0
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
219 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 412 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.284 | 0.252 to 0.338 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.119 | 0.080 to 0.204 | +/- 0.062 |
| Barrel% | 3.8% | 2.2% to 6.8% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.8% | 30.9% to 46.7% | +/- 7.9% |
| K% | 25.6% | 19.3% to 30.5% | +/- 5.6% |
| BB% | 6.5% | 4.8% to 10.1% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.276 | 0.218 to 0.318 | +/- 0.050 |
vs LHP
1743 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.239 |
| K% | 15.8% |
| BB% | 6.2% |
| Barrel | 4.4% |
vs RHP
2727 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.214 |
| K% | 20.0% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |