Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Maile, Luke
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team KC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 35
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.278 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.222 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.276 |
| Observed weight | 4% |
xwOBA
0.212
0.242
0.276
0.309
0.339
wOBA
0.165
0.270
0.386
0.502
0.606
ISO
0.079
0.116
0.157
0.198
0.235
K%
20.9%
24.1%
27.7%
31.3%
34.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing-0.3 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs0.3 · C
Small sample
Pop Time2.0 · C
Small sample
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
33 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 246 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.213 to 0.343 | +/- 0.065 |
| ISO | 0.148 | 0.072 to 0.233 | +/- 0.081 |
| Barrel% | 3.9% | 1.2% to 6.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.5% | 22.4% to 42.7% | +/- 10.1% |
| K% | 28.3% | 22.1% to 36.1% | +/- 7.0% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 4.7% to 10.2% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.202 to 0.342 | +/- 0.070 |
vs LHP
402 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.165 |
| K% | 17.5% |
| BB% | 5.2% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |
vs RHP
969 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.158 |
| K% | 17.9% |
| BB% | 4.5% |
| Barrel | 2.1% |