Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026

Muncy, Max

Middle-order power profile with real damage

Primary
0.344 xwOBA
Range
0.291 to 0.397
Live Δ
yes
Team LAD Archetype Impact slugger Age 36 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.345
xwOBA current pace0.396
xwOBA rolling p500.370
Observed weight50%
xwOBA
0.336 0.352 0.370 0.388 0.404
wOBA
0.383 0.403 0.426 0.448 0.468
ISO
0.192 0.212 0.235 0.257 0.277
K%
22.5% 24.0% 25.8% 27.5% 29.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.2%
87
Barrel%11.4%
97 +27 vs proj
Bat speed70.3
59
Exit velocity91.4
88
Hard-hit%50.0%
90 +22 vs proj
K%25.5%
32
xBA0.380
91
xSLG0.793
98
xwOBA0.396
97 +19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength84.9 · 3B
40
Outs Above Avg5.0 · 3B
96
Range Runs3.6 · 3B
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.4 · 3B
55
Sprint Speed27.2 · 3B
47
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.4% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions67.3% · rebadged research
61
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
30
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
79
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.322 · validated thin sample
1
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
61
Resists FastballwOBA 0.384 · validated
4
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Muncy, Max · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.4222026-05-19: 0.4152026-05-21: 0.4102026-05-23: 0.4032026-05-24: 0.4032026-05-25: 0.4032026-05-26: 0.4032026-05-28: 0.3952026-05-29: 0.3952026-05-30: 0.3952026-05-31: 0.3922026-06-01: 0.396 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

131 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Muncy, Max · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 63% of plotted batted ballsCenter 63%Right field third: 27% of plotted batted ballsOppo 27% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 46.5 / LA -28.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 28.02026-03-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 78.0 / LA 21.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 42.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.2 / LA 43.02026-03-16 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.3 / LA 35.02026-03-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 97.1 / LA 73.02026-03-20 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 4.02026-03-22 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 112.7 / LA 15.02026-03-24 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 108.9 / LA 21.02026-03-26 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 9.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.6 / LA 5.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -2.02026-03-30 · double play · SI · line_drive · EV 93.8 / LA 6.02026-03-30 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 72.0 / LA 28.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.1 / LA 36.02026-03-31 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 34.02026-03-31 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 9.02026-04-01 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 28.02026-04-03 · single · CU · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 26.02026-04-03 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.0 / LA -6.02026-04-03 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA -12.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 45.02026-04-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 10.02026-04-04 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 4.02026-04-06 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 2.02026-04-06 · field out · EP · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 5.02026-04-06 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 1.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · popup · EV 90.3 / LA 61.02026-04-07 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA 7.02026-04-07 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 65.1 / LA 1.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 48.02026-04-08 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 54.3 / LA -74.02026-04-10 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 10.02026-04-10 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 26.02026-04-10 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 32.02026-04-10 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 35.02026-04-10 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.8 / LA 8.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 10.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 35.02026-04-12 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 34.02026-04-14 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -20.02026-04-14 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 83.3 / LA 20.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 31.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -4.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 67.5 / LA 4.02026-04-17 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 15.02026-04-17 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 25.02026-04-17 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 29.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA 2.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 1.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 6.02026-04-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 6.02026-04-19 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 7.02026-04-19 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 38.02026-04-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 60.02026-04-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA -57.02026-04-20 · home run · SV · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 32.02026-04-20 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 74.9 / LA -2.02026-04-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 36.02026-04-20 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 75.6 / LA 25.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.2 / LA -48.02026-04-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 9.02026-04-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 41.02026-04-22 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 78.2 / LA 33.02026-04-23 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 18.02026-04-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -13.02026-04-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -12.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 33.02026-04-24 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 87.1 / LA 19.02026-04-24 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -2.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 20.02026-04-25 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.1 / LA 22.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 0.02026-04-27 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 9.02026-04-27 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 38.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 71.8 / LA 71.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 17.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -19.02026-04-28 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 68.2 / LA -25.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 61.6 / LA -72.02026-04-29 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 19.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 25.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -2.02026-05-01 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 24.02026-05-01 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 44.02026-05-02 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 13.02026-05-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 15.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 54.02026-05-03 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 77.1 / LA 17.02026-05-03 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -20.02026-05-04 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 39.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 43.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 59.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 47.02026-05-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 75.9 / LA 26.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 103.0 / LA 23.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 20.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · popup · EV 90.1 / LA 76.02026-05-10 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 109.6 / LA 34.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 8.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 22.02026-05-11 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 30.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · popup · EV 94.0 / LA 62.02026-05-11 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 2.02026-05-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 47.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · popup · EV 51.7 / LA 37.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -18.02026-05-14 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -5.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -25.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA -6.02026-05-15 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 28.02026-05-15 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 86.9 / LA 13.02026-05-16 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 63.2 / LA -74.02026-05-16 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 65.7 / LA -56.02026-05-16 · fielders choice · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.6 / LA -24.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -8.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 23.02026-05-19 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 0.02026-05-20 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 87.2 / LA 21.02026-05-20 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -11.02026-05-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.2 / LA 44.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 84.8 / LA 32.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 76.1 / LA 75.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -15.02026-05-27 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA -25.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 58.02026-05-31 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 42.02026-05-31 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 31.02026-05-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -11.02026-05-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 75.4 / LA 21.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Muncy, Max · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 33.6° Length 7.0 ft Ideal path 49% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Muncy, Max · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 16.0° Direction -6.8° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Muncy, Max · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 71.2 mph Hard swing rate 9% Whiff / swing 34% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Muncy, Max · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 23%23%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 82%82%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.298 vs 0.254 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
3
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
4
templated note
Age-36 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.052
wOBA Δ+0.082
Sample220 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances468----
Home Runs23----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3440.291 to 0.397+/- 0.053
ISO0.2020.135 to 0.287+/- 0.076
Barrel%6.5%4.5% to 9.3%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%44.2%39.1% to 52.9%+/- 6.9%
K%25.7%21.5% to 32.3%+/- 5.4%
BB%14.3%11.2% to 18.9%+/- 3.8%
BABIP0.2670.201 to 0.300+/- 0.050
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1170 career PA

xwOBA0.254
K%22.6%
BB%8.5%
Barrel5.2%
vs RHP

3270 career PA

xwOBA0.298
K%21.2%
BB%14.3%
Barrel6.0%