Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026

Muncy, Max

Middle-order power profile with real damage

Primary
0.344 xwOBA
Range
0.291 to 0.397
Live Δ
yes
Team LAD Archetype Impact slugger Age 36 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
83
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
75
Defense3 metrics
59
Speed2 metrics
47
Plate skills10 metrics
44
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.345
xwOBA current pace0.360
xwOBA rolling p500.354
Observed weight62%
xwOBA
0.326 0.339 0.354 0.369 0.383
wOBA
0.362 0.378 0.395 0.413 0.429
ISO
0.184 0.200 0.218 0.235 0.252
K%
21.9% 23.2% 24.6% 26.1% 27.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.0%
91 +18 vs proj
Exit velocity90.1
76
Hard-hit%45.1%
76
xBA0.345
74
xSLG0.667
89
xwOBA0.360
89
BB%12.1%
86
Bat speed69.9
54
K%23.7%
41
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength84.9 · 3B
34
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
77
Range Runs1.7 · 3B
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.4 · 3B
53
Sprint Speed27.0 · 3B
40
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.9% · rebadged research
67
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
31
Correct Decisions67.0% · rebadged research
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
37
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
92
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.311 · validated thin sample
5
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
67
Resists FastballwOBA 0.390 · validated
3
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371 · validated
21
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Muncy, Max · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.360 2026-07-07: 0.3612026-07-08: 0.3642026-07-09: 0.3642026-07-10: 0.3642026-07-11: 0.3642026-07-12: 0.3642026-07-13: 0.3612026-07-14: 0.3612026-07-15: 0.3612026-07-16: 0.3602026-07-17: 0.3602026-07-18: 0.360 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

151 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Muncy, Max · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 64% of plotted batted ballsCenter 64%Right field third: 25% of plotted batted ballsOppo 25% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 46.5 / LA -28.02026-03-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 78.0 / LA 21.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 28.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.2 / LA 43.02026-03-16 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.3 / LA 35.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 42.02026-03-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 97.1 / LA 73.02026-03-20 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 4.02026-03-22 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 112.7 / LA 15.02026-03-24 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 108.9 / LA 21.02026-03-26 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 9.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.6 / LA 5.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -2.02026-03-30 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 72.0 / LA 28.02026-03-30 · double play · SI · line_drive · EV 93.8 / LA 6.02026-03-31 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 9.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.1 / LA 36.02026-03-31 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 34.02026-04-01 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 28.02026-04-03 · single · CU · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 26.02026-04-03 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.0 / LA -6.02026-04-03 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA -12.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 45.02026-04-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 10.02026-04-04 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 4.02026-04-06 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 2.02026-04-06 · field out · EP · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 5.02026-04-06 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 1.02026-04-07 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA 7.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · popup · EV 90.3 / LA 61.02026-04-07 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 65.1 / LA 1.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 48.02026-04-08 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 54.3 / LA -74.02026-04-10 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 26.02026-04-10 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 32.02026-04-10 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.8 / LA 8.02026-04-10 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 10.02026-04-10 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 35.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 10.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 35.02026-04-12 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 34.02026-04-14 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 83.3 / LA 20.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 31.02026-04-14 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -20.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -4.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 67.5 / LA 4.02026-04-17 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 25.02026-04-17 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 15.02026-04-17 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 29.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA 2.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 1.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 6.02026-04-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 6.02026-04-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA -57.02026-04-19 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 7.02026-04-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 60.02026-04-19 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 38.02026-04-20 · home run · SV · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 32.02026-04-20 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 75.6 / LA 25.02026-04-20 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 74.9 / LA -2.02026-04-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 36.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.2 / LA -48.02026-04-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 9.02026-04-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 41.02026-04-22 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 78.2 / LA 33.02026-04-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -13.02026-04-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -12.02026-04-23 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 18.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 33.02026-04-24 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 87.1 / LA 19.02026-04-24 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -2.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 20.02026-04-25 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.1 / LA 22.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 0.02026-04-27 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 9.02026-04-27 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 38.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 71.8 / LA 71.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 17.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -19.02026-04-28 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 68.2 / LA -25.02026-04-29 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 19.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 25.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 61.6 / LA -72.02026-05-01 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 24.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -2.02026-05-01 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 44.02026-05-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 15.02026-05-02 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 13.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 54.02026-05-03 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 77.1 / LA 17.02026-05-03 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -20.02026-05-04 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 39.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 59.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 47.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 43.02026-05-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 75.9 / LA 26.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 103.0 / LA 23.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 20.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · popup · EV 90.1 / LA 76.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 8.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 22.02026-05-10 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 109.6 / LA 34.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · popup · EV 94.0 / LA 62.02026-05-11 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 2.02026-05-11 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 30.02026-05-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 47.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · popup · EV 51.7 / LA 37.02026-05-14 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -5.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -25.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -18.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA -6.02026-05-15 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 28.02026-05-15 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 86.9 / LA 13.02026-05-16 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 63.2 / LA -74.02026-05-16 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 65.7 / LA -56.02026-05-16 · fielders choice · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.6 / LA -24.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -8.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 23.02026-05-19 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 0.02026-05-20 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -11.02026-05-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.2 / LA 44.02026-05-20 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 87.2 / LA 21.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 76.1 / LA 75.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 84.8 / LA 32.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 58.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -15.02026-05-27 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA -25.02026-05-31 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 31.02026-05-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -11.02026-05-31 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 42.02026-05-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 75.4 / LA 21.02026-06-01 · fielders choice out · CU · ground_ball · EV 57.4 / LA -61.02026-06-04 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.5 / LA -16.02026-06-04 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.1 / LA -14.02026-06-07 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -5.02026-06-07 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -8.02026-06-07 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 30.02026-06-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.6 / LA 24.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA -5.02026-06-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 10.02026-06-22 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 23.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.6 / LA 20.02026-06-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 7.02026-06-24 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 5.02026-06-24 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 75.6 / LA 29.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 92.2 / LA 79.02026-06-26 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 85.6 / LA 27.02026-07-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 66.8 / LA -24.02026-07-01 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 99.7 / LA 22.02026-07-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 82.0 / LA 39.02026-07-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 40.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Muncy, Max · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 71.2 mph Hard swing rate 9% Whiff / swing 34% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Muncy, Max · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 25%25%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 84%84%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.298 vs 0.254 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
3
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
4
templated note
Age-36 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.016
wOBA Δ+0.051
Sample354 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances468----
Home Runs23----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3440.291 to 0.397+/- 0.053
ISO0.2020.135 to 0.287+/- 0.076
Barrel%6.5%4.5% to 9.3%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%44.2%39.1% to 52.9%+/- 6.9%
K%25.7%21.5% to 32.3%+/- 5.4%
BB%14.3%11.2% to 18.9%+/- 3.8%
BABIP0.2670.201 to 0.300+/- 0.050
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1170 career PA

xwOBA0.254
K%22.6%
BB%8.5%
Barrel5.2%
vs RHP

3270 career PA

xwOBA0.298
K%21.2%
BB%14.3%
Barrel6.0%