Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-34 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Hedges, Austin
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team CLE
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 34
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
19
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.2%
26
Exit velocity84.6
16
Hard-hit%31.6%
22
xBA0.283
16
xSLG0.396
12
xwOBA0.275
22
BB%9.7%
65
Bat speed65.7
10
K%17.5%
80
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.1 · C
17
Catcher Throwing-2.2 · C
8
Framing Runs1.9 · C
73
Pop Time1.9 · C
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.4 · C
2
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8% · rebadged research
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.2% · rebadged research
31
Changeup Stuff+86
1
Correct Decisions67.2% · rebadged research
62
Fastball Stuff+81
1
Mithrandir Stuff+81
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · borderline
84
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
88
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · insufficient sample
10
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333 · validated
90
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
107 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 217 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 319 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.245 | 0.194 to 0.333 | +/- 0.070 |
| ISO | 0.106 | 0.033 to 0.206 | +/- 0.086 |
| Barrel% | 2.1% | 0.3% to 5.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 30.3% | 20.6% to 44.9% | +/- 12.1% |
| K% | 28.0% | 22.6% to 35.9% | +/- 6.6% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 4.3% to 10.8% | +/- 3.3% |
| BABIP | 0.263 | 0.156 to 0.325 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
829 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.154 |
| K% | 18.5% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |
vs RHP
1859 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.149 |
| K% | 18.2% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |