Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-33 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Lindor, Francisco
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 33
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
74
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.350 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.341 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.344 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.317
0.330
0.344
0.359
0.372
wOBA
0.316
0.331
0.348
0.365
0.380
ISO
0.158
0.172
0.188
0.204
0.218
K%
17.0%
18.1%
19.4%
20.6%
21.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
70
Exit velocity91.1
88
Hard-hit%47.7%
88
xBA0.312
42
xSLG0.572
73
xwOBA0.341
85
BB%10.1%
69
+15 vs proj
Bat speed70.7
67
K%19.1%
71
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.1 · SS
99
Arm Strength85.2 · SS
32
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · SS
12
Range Runs-1.0 · SS
43
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.6 · SS
18
Sprint Speed26.7 · SS
31
SB Success Rate33.3% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.4% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions64.8% · rebadged research
37
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
59
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.315 · borderline
13
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.291 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
44
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
35
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323 · validated
76
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
160 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.007 |
| Sample | 367 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 658 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 27 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.355 | 0.301 to 0.404 | +/- 0.052 |
| ISO | 0.196 | 0.137 to 0.273 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 6.9% | 4.7% to 9.0% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.0% | 41.6% to 51.6% | +/- 5.0% |
| K% | 18.1% | 15.5% to 24.4% | +/- 4.5% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 6.7% to 11.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.253 to 0.338 | +/- 0.043 |
vs LHP
2182 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.305 |
| K% | 14.4% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 6.5% |
vs RHP
5009 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.315 |
| K% | 17.5% |
| BB% | 8.2% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |