Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Betts, Mookie
On-base driven regular with stable floor
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.360 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.332 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.349 |
| Observed weight | 37% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Mookie Betts's tools (79) outpace production (87) by -8 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives.
Field-coordinate spray profile
92 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.020 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.024 |
| Sample | 129 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 635 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 24 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.352 | 0.299 to 0.403 | +/- 0.052 |
| ISO | 0.172 | 0.132 to 0.265 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% | 5.4% | 3.8% to 7.9% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.4% | 35.7% to 47.3% | +/- 5.8% |
| K% | 11.4% | 9.9% to 18.1% | +/- 4.1% |
| BB% | 10.0% | 7.9% to 13.9% | +/- 3.0% |
| BABIP | 0.280 | 0.251 to 0.327 | +/- 0.038 |
1902 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.320 |
| K% | 9.5% |
| BB% | 9.9% |
| Barrel | 5.4% |
5340 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.311 |
| K% | 10.9% |
| BB% | 9.8% |
| Barrel | 5.0% |