Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Nimmo, Brandon
On-base driven regular with stable floor
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.330 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.384 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.360 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Brandon Nimmo's tools (93) outpace production (75) by 18 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives.
Field-coordinate spray profile
172 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.049 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.026 |
| Sample | 269 PA |
positive regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 615 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 22 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.336 | 0.281 to 0.379 | +/- 0.049 |
| ISO | 0.176 | 0.120 to 0.271 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 6.4% | 4.3% to 8.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 47.9% | 43.2% to 55.2% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 20.6% | 18.0% to 27.9% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 9.5% | 7.1% to 12.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.296 | 0.258 to 0.349 | +/- 0.046 |
1355 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.275 |
| K% | 20.1% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 4.5% |
3241 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.298 |
| K% | 19.3% |
| BB% | 9.6% |
| Barrel | 5.6% |