Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026

Ramírez, José

Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach

Primary
0.337 xwOBA
Range
0.292 to 0.385
Live Δ
yes
Team CLE Archetype Balanced regular Age 34 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.338
xwOBA current pace0.369
xwOBA rolling p500.355
Observed weight56%
xwOBA
0.326 0.340 0.355 0.371 0.384
wOBA
0.341 0.358 0.378 0.397 0.415
ISO
0.160 0.177 0.196 0.215 0.233
K%
10.1% 11.1% 12.4% 13.6% 14.7%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%14.2%
93 +39 vs proj
Barrel%6.4%
68 +21 vs proj
Bat speed68.8
37
Exit velocity90.7
80
Hard-hit%44.6%
69 +28 vs proj
K%12.8%
93
xBA0.340
66
xSLG0.552
62
xwOBA0.369
87
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.6 · 3B
52
Outs Above Avg4.0 · 3B
93
Range Runs2.6 · 3B
83
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.9 · 3B
93
SB Success Rate86.7% · 3B
70
Sprint Speed27.3 · 3B
50
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.3% · rebadged research
54
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.0% · rebadged research
77
Correct Decisions66.9% · rebadged research
56
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
69
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
31
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
37
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
34
Resists FastballwOBA 0.368 · validated
11
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.325 · validated
96
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Ramírez, José · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3732026-05-19: 0.3822026-05-21: 0.3852026-05-23: 0.3782026-05-24: 0.3732026-05-25: 0.3742026-05-26: 0.3732026-05-28: 0.3662026-05-29: 0.3662026-05-30: 0.3662026-05-31: 0.3682026-06-01: 0.369 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

José Ramírez's tools (89) outpace production (89) by -0 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects.

See full optimization →

Chase Rate Problem
Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment

Protected takes / Chase risk
Contact-Discipline Mismatch
Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs

Protected takes / Chase risk
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

198 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Ramírez, José · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsOppo 19% LF 325 CF 400 RF 325 2026-03-15 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 22.02026-03-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 5.02026-03-19 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.0 / LA 33.02026-03-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 5.02026-03-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA -27.02026-03-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 33.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 78.6 / LA 41.02026-03-20 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 36.02026-03-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA -1.02026-03-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 36.02026-03-23 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 31.02026-03-23 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 2.02026-03-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 33.02026-03-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 42.02026-03-26 · field out · CH · popup · EV 80.5 / LA 73.02026-03-26 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 110.8 / LA 16.02026-03-27 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 71.5 / LA -12.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 3.02026-03-27 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 17.02026-03-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 6.02026-03-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 66.3 / LA -45.02026-03-28 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 80.1 / LA 43.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 67.3 / LA 59.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.0 / LA 50.02026-03-28 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 94.4 / LA 14.02026-03-30 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 70.7 / LA 27.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 68.2 / LA 59.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 58.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 29.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.4 / LA 76.02026-03-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 32.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA 4.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 35.02026-04-01 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -10.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 17.02026-04-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 36.02026-04-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 73.1 / LA 21.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 24.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 56.02026-04-03 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 87.6 / LA 14.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 31.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · popup · EV 88.2 / LA 73.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · popup · EV 71.1 / LA 50.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 53.02026-04-05 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 41.02026-04-05 · field out · KC · popup · EV 67.4 / LA 44.02026-04-06 · field out · FC · popup · EV 73.3 / LA 81.02026-04-06 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 16.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 37.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 21.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.2 / LA -16.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · popup · EV 75.8 / LA 56.02026-04-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.4 / LA 6.02026-04-08 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 82.3 / LA 16.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 26.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 53.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 20.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 23.02026-04-11 · home run · CH · line_drive · EV 108.1 / LA 20.02026-04-11 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 10.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 49.02026-04-12 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 1.02026-04-12 · force out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 43.02026-04-12 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 107.0 / LA 15.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 78.9 / LA 80.02026-04-13 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 25.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 27.02026-04-13 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 9.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -5.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 39.02026-04-14 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 94.4 / LA 17.02026-04-14 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.6 / LA 29.02026-04-15 · fielders choice out · ST · ground_ball · EV 81.5 / LA -5.02026-04-15 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 66.5 / LA -18.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 83.4 / LA 48.02026-04-16 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 0.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 1.02026-04-16 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 25.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 35.02026-04-18 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 4.02026-04-18 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 61.3 / LA -50.02026-04-19 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 30.02026-04-19 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 30.02026-04-20 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 15.02026-04-20 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA -5.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 41.02026-04-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 13.02026-04-21 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -12.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 37.02026-04-22 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 72.6 / LA 27.02026-04-22 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 1.02026-04-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 59.02026-04-24 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 9.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 71.8 / LA 36.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 76.8 / LA 41.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 34.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 18.02026-04-25 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 20.02026-04-25 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 6.02026-04-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -18.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -3.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA -18.02026-04-27 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 5.02026-04-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -9.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.2 / LA -4.02026-04-28 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 40.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 35.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 48.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 30.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 54.2 / LA -38.02026-04-29 · fielders choice · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -34.02026-04-29 · double · pitch · line_drive2026-05-01 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 67.7 / LA 32.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · popup · EV 79.2 / LA 81.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA 6.02026-05-02 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 43.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 43.02026-05-02 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 28.02026-05-02 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 93.9 / LA 20.02026-05-03 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 44.02026-05-03 · single · CU · fly_ball · EV 79.1 / LA 33.02026-05-03 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 3.02026-05-04 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 87.7 / LA 19.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · popup · EV 86.2 / LA 67.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 90.0 / LA 24.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 6.02026-05-05 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 72.2 / LA -9.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -4.02026-05-06 · field error · FC · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA -21.02026-05-06 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 78.6 / LA 33.02026-05-07 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 94.6 / LA 10.02026-05-08 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 69.4 / LA -52.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -7.02026-05-08 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 6.02026-05-08 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 63.8 / LA 18.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.5 / LA 78.02026-05-09 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 90.5 / LA 11.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 89.4 / LA 9.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · popup · EV 89.3 / LA 57.02026-05-10 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA -18.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 108.7 / LA 13.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.1 / LA -22.02026-05-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -8.02026-05-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 59.3 / LA -59.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA -17.02026-05-12 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 102.9 / LA 18.02026-05-12 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 0.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 2.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 8.02026-05-15 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.3 / LA 37.02026-05-15 · double · SV · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 10.02026-05-15 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 0.02026-05-15 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA -3.02026-05-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 11.02026-05-16 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 78.2 / LA -20.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.8 / LA -10.02026-05-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.3 / LA 16.02026-05-16 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 100.6 / LA 11.02026-05-17 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 23.02026-05-17 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 28.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 45.02026-05-18 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 5.02026-05-18 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 14.02026-05-18 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 25.02026-05-19 · field out · KC · popup · EV 79.9 / LA 63.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 52.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 71.4 / LA 81.02026-05-20 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 8.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · popup · EV 64.5 / LA 82.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 51.02026-05-21 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 84.9 / LA 17.02026-05-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 77.4 / LA 40.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 17.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -6.02026-05-22 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA -7.02026-05-22 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 11.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · popup · EV 95.1 / LA 70.02026-05-23 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 90.9 / LA 19.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 57.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 93.6 / LA 20.02026-05-24 · field out · FS · popup · EV 68.1 / LA 23.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 23.02026-05-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 14.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.3 / LA -12.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -24.02026-05-26 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 66.4 / LA 46.02026-05-26 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 67.1 / LA -14.02026-05-26 · sac fly · KC · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 27.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.2 / LA 59.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 107.5 / LA -15.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 77.4 / LA 13.02026-05-27 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 42.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 36.02026-05-31 · field out · FC · popup · EV 89.3 / LA 64.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.0 / LA 3.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -17.02026-05-31 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 44.02026-05-31 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 15.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Ramírez, José · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 31.0° Length 7.2 ft Ideal path 59% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Ramírez, José · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 9.5° Direction -10.8° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Ramírez, José · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 70.0 mph Hard swing rate 15% Whiff / swing 15% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Ramírez, José · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 14%14%Zone contact: 93%93%Contact: 86%86%Hard hit: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Age-34 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.032
wOBA Δ+0.040
Sample282 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances628----
Home Runs28----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3370.292 to 0.385+/- 0.047
ISO0.1800.130 to 0.277+/- 0.073
Barrel%4.9%3.5% to 7.4%+/- 1.9%
Hard-Hit%37.9%34.0% to 46.7%+/- 6.3%
K%10.8%9.2% to 17.5%+/- 4.1%
BB%9.1%6.6% to 12.1%+/- 2.8%
BABIP0.2750.249 to 0.327+/- 0.039
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

2065 career PA

xwOBA0.307
K%9.5%
BB%7.7%
Barrel5.5%
vs RHP

4767 career PA

xwOBA0.295
K%10.3%
BB%8.5%
Barrel4.6%