Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / TEX · 2026

Seager, Corey

Middle-order power profile with real damage

Primary
0.374 xwOBA
Range
0.315 to 0.416
Live Δ
yes
Team TEX Archetype Impact slugger Age 32 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
89
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
79
Defense3 metrics
62
Speed1 metrics
5
Plate skills10 metrics
63
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-08-31
xwOBA preseason0.375
xwOBA current pace0.346
xwOBA rolling p500.357
Observed weight61%
xwOBA
0.329 0.342 0.357 0.372 0.385
wOBA
0.309 0.324 0.342 0.359 0.374
ISO
0.160 0.175 0.191 0.208 0.223
K%
20.2% 21.4% 22.7% 24.0% 25.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.3%
95
Exit velocity92.0
93
Hard-hit%49.8%
93
xBA0.340
74
xSLG0.649
90
xwOBA0.346
89
BB%11.9%
86
Bat speed69.8
52
K%24.7%
39 -36 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.4 · SS
35
Outs Above Avg2.0 · SS
80
Range Runs1.6 · SS
70
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · SS
5
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-08-31
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4% · rebadged research
61
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 14.6% · rebadged research
97
Correct Decisions73.0% · rebadged research
95
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
94
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
26
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.300 · validated thin sample
11
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · insufficient sample
10
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
83
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347 · validated
74
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Seager, Corey · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.304 0.346 2026-08-20: 0.3392026-08-21: 0.3392026-08-22: 0.3392026-08-23: 0.3392026-08-24: 0.3392026-08-25: 0.3492026-08-26: 0.3492026-08-27: 0.3412026-08-28: 0.3412026-08-29: 0.3412026-08-30: 0.3452026-08-31: 0.346 2026-08-20 2026-08-31 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

168 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Seager, Corey · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 69% of plotted batted ballsCenter 69%Right field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsOppo 17% LF 329 CF 407 RF 326 2026-03-16 · field out · FF · popup · EV 96.3 / LA 73.02026-03-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -7.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 37.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 20.02026-03-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 15.02026-03-20 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 109.6 / LA 20.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 66.02026-03-23 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 109.9 / LA 16.02026-03-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA -6.02026-03-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 45.02026-03-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA -22.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 110.3 / LA 16.02026-03-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -17.02026-03-28 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 72.5 / LA 18.02026-03-28 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 33.02026-03-29 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 36.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 106.7 / LA 9.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -3.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 59.8 / LA -49.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.4 / LA -3.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 94.1 / LA 73.02026-03-31 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 28.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 1.02026-03-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 107.5 / LA 16.02026-04-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -20.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 10.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.8 / LA 79.02026-04-01 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 29.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.0 / LA -9.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 46.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 3.02026-04-04 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 24.02026-04-04 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 2.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 63.0 / LA 67.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 29.02026-04-06 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 89.1 / LA 19.02026-04-06 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 7.02026-04-06 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -20.02026-04-07 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 79.4 / LA -28.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 42.02026-04-08 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 39.02026-04-10 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 57.02026-04-10 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.8 / LA 27.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 20.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -9.02026-04-12 · field out · FO · fly_ball · EV 75.2 / LA 30.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 45.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 31.02026-04-13 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 68.6 / LA 3.02026-04-13 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 33.02026-04-13 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 20.02026-04-14 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 66.6 / LA 52.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 47.2 / LA -57.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 46.02026-04-15 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 29.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 41.0 / LA -61.02026-04-17 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 89.5 / LA 19.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 18.02026-04-17 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -3.02026-04-17 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 109.4 / LA 21.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -4.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.0 / LA 80.02026-04-18 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -4.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 71.5 / LA 75.02026-04-21 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA -34.02026-04-21 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 79.5 / LA 18.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.0 / LA -17.02026-04-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 25.02026-04-22 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 11.02026-04-23 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 13.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.5 / LA -30.02026-04-23 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 36.02026-04-24 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 9.02026-04-24 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 17.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 72.4 / LA -21.02026-04-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 5.02026-04-25 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 79.7 / LA 12.02026-04-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 35.02026-04-25 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 76.8 / LA 26.02026-04-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.2 / LA -17.02026-04-26 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -2.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -33.02026-04-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.5 / LA -40.02026-04-26 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 108.4 / LA 9.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA 8.02026-04-28 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 109.3 / LA 15.02026-04-28 · grounded into double play · FS · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -4.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 39.02026-04-29 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA -5.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.7 / LA -33.02026-05-01 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 25.02026-05-02 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 0.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 20.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 44.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 19.02026-05-03 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -41.02026-05-03 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 0.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 33.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 54.3 / LA 8.02026-05-06 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 42.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -10.02026-05-06 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA -7.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 36.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 18.02026-05-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 4.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.0 / LA -1.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -22.02026-05-09 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -14.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 26.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 31.02026-05-11 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA -4.02026-05-11 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 50.02026-05-11 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 6.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 56.02026-05-12 · fielders choice · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.4 / LA -30.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 33.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 77.4 / LA 49.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 89.9 / LA 26.02026-06-05 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 28.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.3 / LA 50.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA -7.02026-06-05 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 25.02026-07-31 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 106.9 / LA 21.02026-07-31 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 4.02026-08-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 69.3 / LA 4.02026-08-02 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 44.02026-08-04 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 7.02026-08-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA -7.02026-08-04 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 13.02026-08-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 10.02026-08-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 77.8 / LA 35.02026-08-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 32.02026-08-08 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 23.02026-08-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.1 / LA -40.02026-08-08 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 41.02026-08-08 · double play · SI · line_drive · EV 94.3 / LA 10.02026-08-11 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 37.02026-08-11 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 21.02026-08-11 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 26.02026-08-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA -17.02026-08-13 · field error · ST · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 55.02026-08-14 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 29.02026-08-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -12.02026-08-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 13.02026-08-19 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 83.2 / LA -6.02026-08-19 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 16.02026-08-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.8 / LA -45.02026-08-21 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 94.6 / LA 17.02026-08-21 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 78.2 / LA 19.02026-08-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 27.02026-08-22 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 20.02026-08-22 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 0.02026-08-22 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA -1.02026-08-23 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 0.02026-08-23 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 100.6 / LA 13.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 31.02026-08-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 20.02026-08-24 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 11.02026-08-24 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 94.7 / LA 13.02026-08-24 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 54.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.5 / LA 32.02026-08-26 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 45.02026-08-29 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA -13.02026-08-29 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 81.3 / LA 17.02026-08-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA -12.02026-08-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 4.02026-08-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -3.02026-08-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 2.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Seager, Corey · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 72.0 mph Hard swing rate 14% Whiff / swing 32% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Seager, Corey · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 27%27%Whiff: 30%30%Zone contact: 82%82%Contact: 70%70%Hard hit: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.344 vs 0.283 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
3
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
4
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.028
wOBA Δ-0.033
Sample344 PA

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances484----
Home Runs25----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3740.315 to 0.416+/- 0.051
ISO0.2060.147 to 0.285+/- 0.069
Barrel%9.1%6.9% to 11.7%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%49.6%42.3% to 56.9%+/- 7.3%
K%18.3%15.0% to 23.6%+/- 4.3%
BB%10.7%8.7% to 13.9%+/- 2.6%
BABIP0.3050.264 to 0.337+/- 0.037
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1713 career PA

xwOBA0.283
K%18.6%
BB%5.6%
Barrel7.7%
vs RHP

3659 career PA

xwOBA0.344
K%13.1%
BB%11.0%
Barrel8.9%