Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-34 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
None
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team ATH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 34
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
53
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.292 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.327 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 12% |
xwOBA
0.240
0.267
0.297
0.326
0.353
wOBA
0.168
0.216
0.270
0.324
0.372
ISO
0.037
0.067
0.099
0.131
0.160
K%
13.3%
16.2%
19.5%
22.7%
25.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · 1B
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.6 · 1B
34
Regression applied
Range Runs-2.8 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.3 · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.7% · rebadged research
87
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.3% · rebadged research
30
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
53
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
52
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
40
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
73
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
11 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 236 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.222 to 0.347 | +/- 0.063 |
| ISO | 0.113 | 0.055 to 0.194 | +/- 0.070 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 1.3% to 6.3% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 40.0% | 30.4% to 49.6% | +/- 9.6% |
| K% | 22.3% | 15.8% to 29.8% | +/- 7.0% |
| BB% | 6.2% | 3.9% to 9.7% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.315 | 0.243 to 0.371 | +/- 0.064 |
vs LHP
371 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.210 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 2.8% |
vs RHP
892 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.204 |
| K% | 14.7% |
| BB% | 4.3% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |