Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Torrens, Luis
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.264 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.299 |
| Observed weight | 33% |
xwOBA
0.260
0.279
0.299
0.320
0.339
wOBA
0.227
0.253
0.282
0.312
0.338
ISO
0.053
0.077
0.104
0.130
0.155
K%
16.9%
19.0%
21.2%
23.5%
25.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%4.6%
11
Barrel%0.9%
5
-39 vs proj
Bat speed67.9
27
Exit velocity88.1
45
Hard-hit%42.1%
60
K%21.1%
56
xBA0.287
21
xSLG0.388
13
xwOBA0.264
14
-28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.6 · C
76
Catcher Throwing2.8 · C
98
Framing Runs1.7 · C
76
Pop Time1.9 · C
96
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.4 · C
25
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.8% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research
64
Correct Decisions61.9% · rebadged research
15
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · borderline
82
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
50
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
26
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
63
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
30
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
75 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.038 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.020 |
| Sample | 109 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 367 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.302 | 0.259 to 0.365 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.118 | 0.053 to 0.203 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 4.7% | 3.0% to 7.6% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.5% | 34.3% to 52.4% | +/- 9.1% |
| K% | 21.5% | 17.1% to 28.9% | +/- 5.9% |
| BB% | 6.0% | 4.8% to 9.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| BABIP | 0.274 | 0.235 to 0.323 | +/- 0.044 |
vs LHP
475 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.209 |
| K% | 14.1% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 3.8% |
vs RHP
863 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.218 |
| K% | 14.2% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |