Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CHC · 2026
Taylor, Tyrone
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team CHC
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
49
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.300 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.319 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.310 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
xwOBA
0.284
0.296
0.310
0.324
0.337
wOBA
0.347
0.367
0.388
0.410
0.430
ISO
0.156
0.171
0.189
0.206
0.221
K%
16.9%
18.3%
19.9%
21.4%
22.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.6%
75
+46 vs proj
Exit velocity84.9
19
Hard-hit%33.3%
28
xBA0.313
42
xSLG0.534
60
xwOBA0.319
68
+31 vs proj
BB%5.7%
19
Bat speed69.3
44
K%17.5%
80
+31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.7 · LF
86
Arm Strength95.1 · LF
62
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
88
Range Runs-0.7 · LF
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · LF
28
Bolts6.0 · LF
51
Sprint Speed29.2 · LF
92
SB Success Rate75.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.7% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.0% · rebadged research
33
Correct Decisions65.0% · rebadged research
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
62
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
75
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
39
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
58
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
27
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
25
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
137 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.028 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.097 |
| Sample | 229 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 424 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.269 to 0.339 | +/- 0.035 |
| ISO | 0.127 | 0.094 to 0.205 | +/- 0.056 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 2.2% to 6.3% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.5% | 31.6% to 43.6% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 23.1% | 18.6% to 28.6% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 5.5% | 3.6% to 8.2% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.279 | 0.227 to 0.328 | +/- 0.050 |
vs LHP
578 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.246 |
| K% | 16.1% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |
vs RHP
1242 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.229 |
| K% | 18.2% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 3.1% |