Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Taylor, Tyrone
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team NYM
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
28
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.304 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.276 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 40% |
xwOBA
0.264
0.278
0.293
0.308
0.322
wOBA
0.274
0.298
0.324
0.351
0.374
ISO
0.130
0.148
0.168
0.188
0.206
K%
17.5%
19.2%
21.0%
22.8%
24.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.2%
68
+41 vs proj
Exit velocity84.3
12
Hard-hit%30.9%
17
xBA0.273
11
xSLG0.487
41
xwOBA0.276
20
-17 vs proj
BB%3.5%
6
Bat speed69.0
40
K%18.8%
71
+25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · CF
44
Arm Strength94.3 · CF
63
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs-1.4 · CF
30
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts3.0 · CF
42
Sprint Speed29.0 · CF
90
SB Success Rate0.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.7% · rebadged research
20
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.8% · rebadged research
42
Correct Decisions64.1% · rebadged research
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.264 · borderline
91
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
70
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
21
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
69
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329 · validated
70
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.342 · validated
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
18
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
94 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.019 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.029 |
| Sample | 144 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 424 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.272 to 0.343 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.129 | 0.095 to 0.208 | +/- 0.056 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 2.2% to 6.3% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.5% | 31.6% to 43.6% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 23.1% | 18.6% to 28.6% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 5.5% | 3.6% to 8.2% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.227 to 0.326 | +/- 0.050 |
vs LHP
578 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.246 |
| K% | 16.1% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |
vs RHP
1242 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.229 |
| K% | 18.2% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 3.1% |