Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Taylor, Tyrone
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team NYM
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 32
Status IL-10
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.304 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.248 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.285 |
| Observed weight | 35% |
xwOBA
0.255
0.269
0.285
0.300
0.314
wOBA
0.229
0.255
0.282
0.310
0.336
ISO
0.106
0.125
0.145
0.166
0.185
K%
17.5%
19.2%
21.1%
23.0%
24.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%2.5%
2
Barrel%4.2%
38
Bat speed68.5
35
Exit velocity83.3
7
Hard-hit%29.7%
12
-15 vs proj
K%18.6%
70
+28 vs proj
xBA0.257
7
xSLG0.426
22
xwOBA0.248
7
-30 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.1 · CF
15
Arm Strength92.4 · CF
53
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs-1.2 · CF
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · CF
37
Sprint Speed29.0 · CF
92
SB Success Rate0.0% · CF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.6% · rebadged research
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions64.1% · rebadged research
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.259 · borderline
93
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
69
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
21
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
71
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329 · validated
71
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343 · validated
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
16
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
91 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.047 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.012 |
| Sample | 118 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 424 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.272 to 0.343 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.129 | 0.094 to 0.208 | +/- 0.057 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 2.2% to 6.3% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.5% | 31.6% to 43.6% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 23.1% | 18.6% to 28.6% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 5.5% | 3.6% to 8.2% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.226 to 0.326 | +/- 0.050 |
vs LHP
578 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.246 |
| K% | 16.1% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |
vs RHP
1242 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.229 |
| K% | 18.2% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 3.1% |