Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Navarreto, Brian
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team MIA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
75
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.275 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.148 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.266 |
| Observed weight | 7% |
xwOBA
0.175
0.218
0.266
0.314
0.357
wOBA
0.225
0.296
0.375
0.454
0.525
ISO
0.024
0.076
0.133
0.190
0.241
K%
12.2%
17.3%
22.9%
28.5%
33.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing0.6 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs0.3 · C
Small sample
Pop Time1.9 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.6 · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 0.0% · rebadged research
100
Correct Decisions78.9% · rebadged research
99
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
61
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
52
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline127
99
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
21 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 209 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.293 | 0.113 to 0.308 | +/- 0.098 |
| ISO | 0.147 | 0.023 to 0.255 | +/- 0.116 |
| Barrel% | 4.1% | 1.0% to 7.5% | +/- 3.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.1% | 14.1% to 43.0% | +/- 14.4% |
| K% | 20.5% | 8.8% to 31.8% | +/- 11.5% |
| BB% | 5.3% | 1.4% to 8.3% | +/- 3.5% |
| BABIP | 0.293 | 0.170 to 0.347 | +/- 0.088 |
vs LHP
12 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.023 |
| K% | 1.6% |
| BB% | 0.3% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |
vs RHP
24 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.022 |
| K% | 1.7% |
| BB% | 0.2% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |