Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
Pereda, Jhonny
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SEA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 30
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.255 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.341 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.277 |
| Observed weight | 26% |
xwOBA
0.226
0.250
0.277
0.304
0.328
wOBA
0.278
0.312
0.349
0.385
0.419
ISO
0.041
0.071
0.104
0.137
0.166
K%
16.5%
19.8%
23.5%
27.2%
30.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.6%
17
-30 vs proj
Exit velocity90.0
74
Hard-hit%46.4%
81
+36 vs proj
xBA0.371
89
xSLG0.504
48
xwOBA0.341
79
+61 vs proj
BB%5.3%
15
Bat speed69.4
46
K%18.4%
72
+44 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.0 · C
46
Catcher Throwing-0.0 · C
54
Framing Runs0.0 · C
49
Pop Time2.0 · C
15
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.4 · C
2
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.2% · rebadged research
64
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.7% · rebadged research
26
Correct Decisions66.0% · rebadged research
49
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
42
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
35
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
37
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
45
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
75
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
56
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
34 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.069 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.076 |
| Sample | 76 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 251 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.272 | 0.164 to 0.294 | +/- 0.065 |
| ISO | 0.132 | 0.048 to 0.214 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 1.1% to 6.8% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.8% | 23.9% to 46.1% | +/- 11.1% |
| K% | 26.7% | 16.5% to 35.0% | +/- 9.2% |
| BB% | 5.9% | 2.1% to 8.5% | +/- 3.2% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.217 to 0.367 | +/- 0.075 |
vs LHP
43 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.088 |
| K% | 9.6% |
| BB% | 2.3% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
104 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.086 |
| K% | 10.2% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |