Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / NYY · 2026
Escarra, J.c.
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team NYY
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 31
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
26
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.258 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.302 |
| Observed weight | 33% |
xwOBA
0.263
0.282
0.302
0.323
0.341
wOBA
0.270
0.298
0.328
0.358
0.386
ISO
0.118
0.143
0.171
0.199
0.224
K%
14.1%
16.5%
19.1%
21.8%
24.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.6%
44
Exit velocity88.1
49
Hard-hit%35.4%
33
-15 vs proj
xBA0.262
8
xSLG0.393
11
xwOBA0.258
10
-57 vs proj
BB%6.5%
24
-30 vs proj
Bat speed67.6
24
K%18.5%
72
+23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.9 · C
89
Catcher Throwing0.4 · C
70
Framing Runs0.2 · C
54
Pop Time1.9 · C
74
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.2 · C
22
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.5% · rebadged research
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.6% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions67.9% · rebadged research
68
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.261 · borderline
93
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.264 · insufficient sample
89
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample
27
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.304 · insufficient sample
97
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371 · validated
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
60 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.067 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.003 |
| Sample | 108 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 261 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.325 | 0.225 to 0.329 | +/- 0.052 |
| ISO | 0.181 | 0.069 to 0.222 | +/- 0.077 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 1.7% to 6.9% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 38.7% | 28.3% to 46.9% | +/- 9.3% |
| K% | 22.5% | 11.5% to 25.8% | +/- 7.2% |
| BB% | 8.9% | 4.1% to 12.0% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.197 to 0.330 | +/- 0.067 |
vs LHP
28 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.093 |
| K% | 6.4% |
| BB% | 2.7% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |
vs RHP
104 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.101 |
| K% | 5.5% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 2.0% |