Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
Heim, Jonah
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team ATH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
37
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.299 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.297 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.298 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.273
0.285
0.298
0.311
0.322
wOBA
0.275
0.290
0.307
0.324
0.340
ISO
0.141
0.154
0.169
0.183
0.196
K%
16.9%
18.1%
19.3%
20.6%
21.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
50
Exit velocity87.6
47
Hard-hit%32.8%
25
-17 vs proj
xBA0.292
22
xSLG0.473
39
xwOBA0.297
41
BB%7.6%
39
Bat speed68.4
33
K%18.4%
74
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.9 · C
5
Catcher Throwing-0.7 · C
33
Framing Runs-0.6 · C
41
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · C
20
Pop Time2.0 · C
18
Range Runs-0.7 · C
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · C
5
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.1% · rebadged research
55
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.2% · rebadged research
23
Correct Decisions65.3% · rebadged research
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
83
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample
14
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
61
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
88
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
46
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.342 · validated
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
38
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
134 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.005 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.016 |
| Sample | 331 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 474 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.268 to 0.345 | +/- 0.038 |
| ISO | 0.121 | 0.103 to 0.214 | +/- 0.056 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 2.7% to 6.8% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.8% | 32.0% to 44.6% | +/- 6.3% |
| K% | 20.0% | 16.3% to 24.9% | +/- 4.3% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 4.3% to 9.7% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.272 | 0.230 to 0.325 | +/- 0.048 |
vs LHP
604 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.247 |
| K% | 16.0% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 4.5% |
vs RHP
1767 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.233 |
| K% | 16.0% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 3.8% |