Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026
White, Eli
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team BOS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
26
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.291 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.268 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.280 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
xwOBA
0.233
0.255
0.280
0.306
0.328
wOBA
0.338
0.359
0.383
0.406
0.428
ISO
0.123
0.142
0.164
0.185
0.204
K%
21.2%
22.9%
24.7%
26.5%
28.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.2%
55
Exit velocity84.4
14
Hard-hit%31.6%
21
-23 vs proj
xBA0.293
23
xSLG0.432
26
xwOBA0.268
18
-17 vs proj
BB%6.3%
25
Bat speed70.7
68
K%21.5%
57
+17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · RF
69
Arm Strength95.3 · RF
64
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
49
Range Runs3.3 · RF
81
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts46.0 · RF
92
SB Success Rate83.3% · RF
59
Sprint Speed30.2 · RF
100
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.6% · rebadged research
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.4% · rebadged research
58
Correct Decisions64.4% · rebadged research
32
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
45
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
31
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
82
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample
86
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
49
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346 · validated
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
28
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
87 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.023 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.092 |
| Sample | 191 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 353 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.291 | 0.221 to 0.385 | +/- 0.082 |
| ISO | 0.138 | 0.084 to 0.222 | +/- 0.069 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 2.4% to 7.7% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.0% | 28.4% to 49.7% | +/- 10.6% |
| K% | 24.8% | 20.7% to 31.7% | +/- 5.5% |
| BB% | 4.7% | 3.0% to 7.7% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.290 | 0.224 to 0.349 | +/- 0.063 |
vs LHP
308 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.190 |
| K% | 15.6% |
| BB% | 3.1% |
| Barrel | 3.6% |
vs RHP
507 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.172 |
| K% | 17.3% |
| BB% | 2.3% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |