Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.183 vs 0.153 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026
Wilson, Weston
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team SEA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
20
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.263 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.287 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
xwOBA
0.243
0.264
0.287
0.309
0.330
wOBA
0.252
0.284
0.321
0.357
0.390
ISO
0.095
0.120
0.147
0.174
0.199
K%
20.0%
22.7%
25.7%
28.7%
31.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
17
-37 vs proj
Exit velocity86.8
32
Hard-hit%31.1%
18
-43 vs proj
xBA0.276
12
xSLG0.441
26
xwOBA0.263
12
-20 vs proj
BB%8.0%
43
Bat speed68.9
38
K%26.7%
28
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 3B
12
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
Small sample
Range Runs-4.1 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · 3B
55
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.1% · rebadged research
63
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.0% · rebadged research
32
Correct Decisions67.6% · rebadged research
64
Mithrandir Stuff+66
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
68
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
47
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
70
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.364 · validated
13
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347 · validated
79
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
53
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
36 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.027 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.031 |
| Sample | 75 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 274 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.290 | 0.224 to 0.331 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.168 | 0.070 to 0.206 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 5.4% | 2.3% to 7.4% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.3% | 28.9% to 47.0% | +/- 9.1% |
| K% | 26.6% | 19.7% to 34.2% | +/- 7.2% |
| BB% | 8.3% | 5.1% to 12.2% | +/- 3.6% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.199 to 0.342 | +/- 0.071 |
vs LHP
161 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.183 |
| K% | 14.5% |
| BB% | 5.8% |
| Barrel | 3.8% |
vs RHP
137 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.153 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 2.5% |