Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026

Siri, Jose

Middle-order power profile with real damage

Primary
0.300 xwOBA
Range
0.223 to 0.353
Live Δ
yes
Team LAA Archetype Impact slugger Age 31 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
76
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
61
Defense4 metrics
50
Speed3 metrics
90
Plate skills10 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-05
xwOBA preseason0.302
xwOBA current pace0.307
xwOBA rolling p500.304
Observed weight48%
xwOBA
0.265 0.284 0.304 0.325 0.343
wOBA
0.278 0.298 0.320 0.342 0.361
ISO
0.126 0.149 0.175 0.200 0.223
K%
30.1% 32.2% 34.5% 36.9% 39.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.3%
96
Exit velocity88.8
61
Hard-hit%43.4%
74
xBA0.348
80
xSLG0.679
92
xwOBA0.307
53
BB%5.9%
20
Bat speed70.4
63
K%32.7%
8
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.3 · LF
80
Arm Strength95.4 · LF
65
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · LF
12
Range Runs-0.2 · LF
43
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts26.0 · CF
79
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
94
Sprint Speed30.1 · CF
99
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-05
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.9% · rebadged research
11
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
32
Correct Decisions61.3% · rebadged research
11
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · borderline
88
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.247 · insufficient sample
99
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.358 · insufficient sample
8
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
43
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.335 · validated
89
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline89
10
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Siri, Jose · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.307 2026-08-25: 0.3202026-08-26: 0.3202026-08-27: 0.3142026-08-28: 0.3142026-08-29: 0.3142026-08-30: 0.3112026-08-31: 0.3092026-09-01: 0.3092026-09-02: 0.3062026-09-03: 0.3062026-09-04: 0.3062026-09-05: 0.307 2026-08-25 2026-09-05 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

63 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Siri, Jose · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsOppo 14% LF 347 CF 396 RF 350 2026-03-15 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 13.02026-03-16 · field out · ST · popup · EV 72.5 / LA 57.02026-03-17 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 109.7 / LA -13.02026-03-18 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 112.3 / LA 13.02026-03-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 95.7 / LA 72.02026-03-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 39.02026-05-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 15.02026-05-16 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.2 / LA 34.02026-05-19 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 107.2 / LA 14.02026-05-21 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 58.5 / LA -34.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.4 / LA 88.02026-05-26 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 29.02026-05-31 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 67.2 / LA 34.02026-06-01 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 43.02026-06-01 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 31.02026-06-01 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 24.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 8.02026-06-01 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 71.1 / LA -15.02026-06-07 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 59.8 / LA 7.02026-06-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA -5.02026-06-07 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 69.6 / LA 37.02026-06-07 · sac bunt · SI · ground_ball · EV 54.1 / LA -79.02026-06-18 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 33.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 50.02026-06-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA -22.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 58.02026-06-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.7 / LA -28.02026-06-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 39.9 / LA 22.02026-06-20 · sac fly · FC · line_drive · EV 86.2 / LA 24.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · popup · EV 86.0 / LA 65.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA 1.02026-07-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 10.02026-08-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -5.02026-08-04 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 7.02026-08-05 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 37.02026-08-11 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 111.5 / LA 10.02026-08-11 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 106.8 / LA 41.02026-08-13 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 70.1 / LA 36.02026-08-13 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -28.02026-08-14 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.4 / LA -19.02026-08-16 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 29.02026-08-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.0 / LA -16.02026-08-16 · field out · SL · popup · EV 80.3 / LA 70.02026-08-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 34.02026-08-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 31.02026-08-21 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -3.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 29.02026-08-22 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -4.02026-08-23 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 32.02026-08-23 · single · FS · fly_ball · EV 74.0 / LA 31.02026-08-23 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 93.6 / LA 18.02026-08-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 21.02026-08-26 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 80.8 / LA 10.02026-08-26 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -17.02026-08-29 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 89.8 / LA -9.02026-08-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA -23.02026-08-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA -39.02026-08-30 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 4.02026-08-30 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 75.5 / LA 13.02026-09-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 52.02026-09-02 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 113.2 / LA 13.02026-09-02 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -1.02026-09-04 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 108.3 / LA 16.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Siri, Jose · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 43%43%Whiff: 35%35%Zone contact: 77%77%Contact: 65%65%Hard hit: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.007
wOBA Δ+0.020
Sample205 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances274----
Home Runs12----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3000.223 to 0.353+/- 0.065
ISO0.1990.112 to 0.289+/- 0.088
Barrel%7.3%4.2% to 10.2%+/- 3.0%
Hard-Hit%41.8%32.2% to 50.1%+/- 9.0%
K%39.5%28.3% to 43.8%+/- 7.7%
BB%7.1%4.1% to 11.0%+/- 3.5%
BABIP0.2900.188 to 0.352+/- 0.082
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

352 career PA

xwOBA0.208
K%26.4%
BB%5.0%
Barrel5.2%
vs RHP

988 career PA

xwOBA0.208
K%27.4%
BB%4.6%
Barrel5.3%