Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Siri, Jose
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team LAA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.302 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.338 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.307 |
| Observed weight | 13% |
xwOBA
0.249
0.276
0.307
0.337
0.365
wOBA
0.428
0.481
0.540
0.598
0.651
ISO
0.121
0.157
0.198
0.240
0.276
K%
28.6%
31.9%
35.5%
39.1%
42.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · LF
Limited
Outs Above Avg0.5 · LF · small sample regression applied
72
Regression applied
Range Runs0.8 · LF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 50.0% · rebadged research
5
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 34.4% · rebadged research
5
Correct Decisions55.6% · rebadged research
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
46
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
53
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.367 · insufficient sample
5
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
44
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
57
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline81
3
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
18 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 274 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.300 | 0.223 to 0.353 | +/- 0.065 |
| ISO | 0.199 | 0.112 to 0.289 | +/- 0.088 |
| Barrel% | 7.3% | 4.2% to 10.2% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.8% | 32.2% to 50.1% | +/- 9.0% |
| K% | 39.5% | 28.3% to 43.8% | +/- 7.7% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 4.1% to 11.0% | +/- 3.5% |
| BABIP | 0.290 | 0.188 to 0.352 | +/- 0.082 |
vs LHP
352 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.208 |
| K% | 26.4% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 5.2% |
vs RHP
988 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.208 |
| K% | 27.4% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 5.3% |