Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026

Robles, Victor

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.291 xwOBA
Range
0.241 to 0.346
Live Δ
--
Team SEA Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 29 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.290
xwOBA current pace0.289
xwOBA rolling p500.289
Observed weight16%
xwOBA
0.243 0.265 0.289 0.314 0.336
wOBA
0.483 0.530 0.582 0.634 0.681
ISO
0.091 0.120 0.151 0.183 0.211
K%
13.3% 15.8% 18.6% 21.3% 23.8%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · RF
Limited
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF · small sample regression applied
73 Regression applied
Range Runs2.0 · RF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · RF
Limited
Sprint Speed28.5 · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.3% · rebadged research
34
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9% · rebadged research
32
Correct Decisions64.4% · rebadged research
34
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
51
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
57
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
65
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353 · validated
28
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
28
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

30 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Robles, Victor · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 63% of plotted batted ballsCenter 63%Right field third: 23% of plotted batted ballsOppo 23% LF 331 CF 401 RF 326 2026-03-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 2.02026-03-17 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 30.02026-03-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 59.02026-03-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 44.02026-03-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.7 / LA 3.02026-03-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -6.02026-03-20 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 24.02026-03-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.3 / LA 25.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 39.02026-03-22 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 13.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 58.02026-03-28 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 63.4 / LA -2.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 23.02026-03-28 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 16.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.2 / LA -48.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · popup · EV 92.3 / LA 72.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 85.3 / LA 22.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 84.8 / LA 37.02026-04-03 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 5.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · popup · EV 61.9 / LA 75.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.6 / LA -20.02026-05-22 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.1 / LA -9.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -13.02026-05-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 13.02026-05-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 11.02026-05-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 8.02026-05-27 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 75.6 / LA 21.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.2 / LA -39.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA -12.02026-05-31 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 69.2 / LA 2.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Robles, Victor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 33%33% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances320----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2910.241 to 0.346+/- 0.052
ISO0.1120.054 to 0.194+/- 0.070
Barrel%3.3%1.8% to 6.1%+/- 2.2%
Hard-Hit%27.4%23.9% to 38.2%+/- 7.2%
K%18.8%14.1% to 26.2%+/- 6.0%
BB%6.4%3.5% to 9.9%+/- 3.2%
BABIP0.3030.249 to 0.357+/- 0.054
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

741 career PA

xwOBA0.210
K%11.5%
BB%5.1%
Barrel3.3%
vs RHP

1707 career PA

xwOBA0.206
K%13.2%
BB%4.5%
Barrel2.7%