Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Devers, Rafael
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.354 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.330 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.336 |
| Observed weight | 73% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Rafael Devers's production (82) outpaces the tools grade (75) by 6 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives.
Field-coordinate spray profile
242 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.034 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.005 |
| Sample | 590 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 636 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 29 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.364 | 0.307 to 0.398 | +/- 0.046 |
| ISO | 0.236 | 0.149 to 0.314 | +/- 0.082 |
| Barrel% | 8.9% | 5.6% to 10.5% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 54.5% | 45.5% to 61.6% | +/- 8.0% |
| K% | 24.4% | 19.6% to 29.3% | +/- 4.9% |
| BB% | 12.1% | 9.9% to 15.4% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.309 | 0.260 to 0.353 | +/- 0.047 |
1621 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.269 |
| K% | 23.1% |
| BB% | 7.6% |
| Barrel | 5.7% |
3569 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.329 |
| K% | 20.0% |
| BB% | 12.3% |
| Barrel | 7.9% |