Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / DET · 2026

Torres, Gleyber

On-base driven regular with stable floor

Primary
0.343 xwOBA
Range
0.306 to 0.396
Live Δ
yes
Team DET Archetype Balanced regular Age 30 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
46
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
51
Defense4 metrics
50
Speed2 metrics
5
Plate skills10 metrics
67
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-02
xwOBA preseason0.342
xwOBA current pace0.326
xwOBA rolling p500.332
Observed weight62%
xwOBA
0.306 0.318 0.332 0.346 0.358
wOBA
0.325 0.340 0.357 0.374 0.389
ISO
0.113 0.125 0.139 0.153 0.165
K%
16.9% 18.0% 19.1% 20.3% 21.3%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
47
Exit velocity86.6
35
Hard-hit%33.7%
28 -27 vs proj
xBA0.321
53
xSLG0.478
42
xwOBA0.326
73
BB%13.2%
92 +22 vs proj
Bat speed66.7
18
K%19.2%
71
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 2B
56
Arm Strength81.6 · 2B
7
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 2B
72
Range Runs0.8 · 2B
63
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-4.3 · 2B
2
Sprint Speed25.3 · 2B
8
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-02
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.2% · rebadged research
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions71.5% · rebadged research
90
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
92
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · borderline
9
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.262 · insufficient sample
90
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
46
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
75
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
66
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
35
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Torres, Gleyber · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.326 2026-08-22: 0.3342026-08-23: 0.3342026-08-24: 0.3342026-08-25: 0.3302026-08-26: 0.3302026-08-27: 0.3262026-08-28: 0.3262026-08-29: 0.3262026-08-30: 0.3262026-08-31: 0.3242026-09-01: 0.3252026-09-02: 0.326 2026-08-22 2026-09-02 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Gleyber Torres's tools (77) outpace production (69) by 8 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Launch Angle Too Low
+15.8° Current 0° → Target 16°

Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

176 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Torres, Gleyber · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 3% of plotted batted ballsPull 3%Center field third: 73% of plotted batted ballsCenter 73%Right field third: 24% of plotted batted ballsOppo 24% LF 345 CF 420 RF 330 2026-03-20 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA 1.02026-03-23 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 26.02026-03-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 78.4 / LA 47.02026-03-23 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA -2.02026-03-24 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 22.02026-03-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.0 / LA 9.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 68.6 / LA 3.02026-03-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 71.8 / LA -8.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 38.02026-03-27 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA 9.02026-03-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 53.1 / LA -39.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 26.02026-03-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 94.4 / LA 15.02026-03-30 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 30.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -14.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 78.8 / LA 38.02026-04-01 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 9.02026-04-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 70.6 / LA 11.02026-04-01 · double play · FF · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 6.02026-04-01 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.4 / LA -19.02026-04-03 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 64.1 / LA 15.02026-04-03 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 81.1 / LA 21.02026-04-03 · fielders choice out · SI · ground_ball · EV 57.4 / LA -52.02026-04-04 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 89.7 / LA 20.02026-04-04 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 34.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -22.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 44.3 / LA -83.02026-04-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 83.9 / LA 29.02026-04-05 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -12.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 74.5 / LA -2.02026-04-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 87.4 / LA 19.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 34.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 25.02026-04-07 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 4.02026-04-08 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 68.9 / LA 37.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA -8.02026-04-08 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 83.8 / LA 10.02026-04-08 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 11.02026-04-09 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 27.02026-04-09 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 75.2 / LA 25.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.4 / LA 38.02026-04-10 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 43.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.1 / LA 19.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA -25.02026-04-12 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -25.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 71.6 / LA -4.02026-04-12 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 57.2 / LA -38.02026-04-12 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 73.7 / LA 20.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 29.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 51.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA -9.02026-04-14 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 87.6 / LA 22.02026-04-15 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 89.1 / LA 10.02026-04-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -5.02026-04-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 37.02026-04-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 14.02026-04-16 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 2.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.4 / LA -31.02026-04-16 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 24.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.9 / LA 39.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 56.2 / LA -86.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 42.6 / LA -52.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA -12.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -11.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 50.2 / LA -59.02026-04-18 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 70.6 / LA 22.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -13.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 33.02026-04-19 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 69.7 / LA 51.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 8.02026-04-20 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 69.0 / LA 26.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 2.02026-04-20 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 65.6 / LA -11.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -2.02026-04-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA -20.02026-04-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 64.2 / LA -26.02026-04-22 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.2 / LA 4.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA -4.02026-04-23 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -8.02026-04-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA -2.02026-04-24 · field out · SV · line_drive · EV 84.5 / LA 27.02026-04-26 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 9.02026-04-26 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 7.02026-04-26 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA -7.02026-04-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 26.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 49.2 / LA -23.02026-04-28 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.5 / LA -8.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · popup · EV 69.7 / LA 69.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 38.6 / LA -19.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 64.0 / LA -33.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.8 / LA 9.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 25.02026-04-30 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -3.02026-04-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 85.7 / LA 23.02026-04-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 74.2 / LA 16.02026-04-30 · sac fly · FC · line_drive · EV 88.6 / LA 26.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 27.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 33.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA -7.02026-05-02 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 66.8 / LA 34.02026-05-02 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA -61.02026-06-05 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 98.8 / LA 19.02026-06-05 · field out · ST · popup · EV 88.8 / LA 76.02026-06-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -15.02026-06-05 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 4.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 50.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA -14.02026-07-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.7 / LA -63.02026-07-31 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 89.7 / LA 9.02026-07-31 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.0 / LA 18.02026-07-31 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 74.6 / LA 32.02026-08-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA 8.02026-08-02 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 1.02026-08-04 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 36.02026-08-04 · field out · FC · popup · EV 83.2 / LA 68.02026-08-04 · fielders choice out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.3 / LA -39.02026-08-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA -1.02026-08-05 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 24.02026-08-05 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 24.02026-08-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -4.02026-08-07 · grounded into double play · FS · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA -10.02026-08-07 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 52.02026-08-07 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA -35.02026-08-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 10.02026-08-08 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 86.8 / LA 27.02026-08-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 34.02026-08-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -37.02026-08-08 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 67.9 / LA 4.02026-08-11 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 3.02026-08-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.5 / LA -34.02026-08-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 5.02026-08-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.4 / LA -46.02026-08-14 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 80.8 / LA 16.02026-08-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.4 / LA -25.02026-08-14 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 88.9 / LA 18.02026-08-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 53.02026-08-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 52.02026-08-15 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 81.4 / LA 16.02026-08-15 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 24.02026-08-15 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 8.02026-08-16 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 40.02026-08-16 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 96.2 / LA 15.02026-08-16 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 20.02026-08-16 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 56.8 / LA 19.02026-08-16 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 76.6 / LA 13.02026-08-17 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 93.2 / LA 10.02026-08-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.4 / LA 83.02026-08-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.3 / LA 44.02026-08-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -40.02026-08-19 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 67.3 / LA 27.02026-08-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 9.02026-08-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -22.02026-08-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 22.02026-08-21 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 25.02026-08-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 51.02026-08-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -17.02026-08-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -10.02026-08-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 2.02026-08-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 50.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 56.4 / LA -30.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA -23.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 40.02026-08-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 14.02026-08-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 75.5 / LA 15.02026-08-26 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 50.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 3.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 45.02026-08-29 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 26.02026-08-30 · field out · SL · popup · EV 74.5 / LA 52.02026-08-30 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 68.8 / LA 3.02026-08-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -1.02026-08-30 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA 5.02026-08-31 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 12.02026-08-31 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -6.02026-08-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA -1.02026-09-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 5.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Torres, Gleyber · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 67.3 mph Hard swing rate 1% Whiff / swing 17% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Torres, Gleyber · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 19%19%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.017
wOBA Δ+0.014
Sample365 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances620----
Home Runs17----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3430.306 to 0.396+/- 0.045
ISO0.1560.113 to 0.231+/- 0.059
Barrel%5.4%3.6% to 7.6%+/- 2.0%
Hard-Hit%39.6%36.1% to 47.5%+/- 5.7%
K%18.6%15.4% to 23.1%+/- 3.9%
BB%10.2%8.6% to 13.8%+/- 2.6%
BABIP0.2970.276 to 0.346+/- 0.035
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1193 career PA

xwOBA0.320
K%15.4%
BB%11.8%
Barrel5.0%
vs RHP

3493 career PA

xwOBA0.299
K%15.5%
BB%9.3%
Barrel4.3%