Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment
Protected takes / Chase risk
Díaz, Yandy
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.351 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.370 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.361 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Yandy Díaz's tools (99) outpace production (86) by 14 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects.
Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs
Protected takes / Chase riskField-coordinate spray profile
187 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.023 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.104 |
| Sample | 257 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 600 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 20 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.348 | 0.325 to 0.398 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.162 | 0.110 to 0.245 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 5.7% | 4.5% to 8.5% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 48.9% | 46.9% to 57.8% | +/- 5.4% |
| K% | 15.0% | 12.2% to 20.7% | +/- 4.2% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 6.9% to 11.3% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.322 | 0.296 to 0.369 | +/- 0.037 |
1187 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.334 |
| K% | 11.0% |
| BB% | 8.3% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |
2815 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.295 |
| K% | 14.2% |
| BB% | 7.3% |
| Barrel | 5.0% |