Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / BOS · 2026
Monasterio, Andruw
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team BOS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.308 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.287 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.301 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
xwOBA
0.262
0.281
0.301
0.321
0.339
wOBA
0.268
0.295
0.325
0.355
0.382
ISO
0.081
0.101
0.123
0.145
0.165
K%
17.8%
19.7%
21.9%
24.1%
26.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%5.4%
15
-26 vs proj
Barrel%3.6%
28
Bat speed66.4
15
Exit velocity84.9
15
Hard-hit%35.8%
31
K%21.4%
52
+15 vs proj
xBA0.326
54
xSLG0.467
35
xwOBA0.287
29
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · SS
27
Range Runs-3.5 · SS
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · SS
21
Sprint Speed26.8 · SS
36
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.0% · rebadged research
73
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.9% · rebadged research
17
Correct Decisions68.5% · rebadged research
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.266 · borderline
88
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
24
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
44
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
50
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
54
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
52
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
79 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.023 |
| Sample | 112 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 294 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.302 | 0.248 to 0.350 | +/- 0.051 |
| ISO | 0.122 | 0.076 to 0.196 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 4.1% | 1.6% to 6.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.9% | 29.4% to 43.4% | +/- 7.0% |
| K% | 24.2% | 18.4% to 29.7% | +/- 5.6% |
| BB% | 8.0% | 4.8% to 11.0% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.316 | 0.254 to 0.366 | +/- 0.056 |
vs LHP
234 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.204 |
| K% | 15.1% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |
vs RHP
428 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.192 |
| K% | 16.2% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |