Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-33 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Hoskins, Rhys
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team CLE
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 33
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
48
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.298 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.264
0.278
0.293
0.308
0.322
wOBA
0.311
0.329
0.348
0.367
0.384
ISO
0.170
0.187
0.205
0.223
0.239
K%
25.7%
27.2%
28.9%
30.5%
32.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
66
Exit velocity89.1
62
Hard-hit%42.9%
66
xBA0.272
10
xSLG0.510
50
xwOBA0.289
31
BB%16.0%
98
+38 vs proj
Bat speed69.3
45
K%30.2%
15
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 1B
7
Range Runs-4.7 · 1B
11
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.8 · 1B
4
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.1% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.3% · rebadged research
75
Correct Decisions70.1% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
85
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
31
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
82
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · insufficient sample
19
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
64
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371 · validated
22
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
90
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
107 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.059 |
| Sample | 281 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 431 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 18 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.288 | 0.248 to 0.345 | +/- 0.049 |
| ISO | 0.183 | 0.124 to 0.261 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 3.6% to 8.1% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.9% | 34.5% to 49.0% | +/- 7.2% |
| K% | 28.0% | 22.1% to 33.2% | +/- 5.6% |
| BB% | 9.4% | 6.5% to 12.8% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.282 | 0.204 to 0.324 | +/- 0.060 |
vs LHP
1067 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.225 |
| K% | 20.4% |
| BB% | 9.8% |
| Barrel | 4.6% |
vs RHP
2886 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.225 |
| K% | 22.0% |
| BB% | 7.5% |
| Barrel | 4.8% |