Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / TB · 2026
Mullins, Cedric
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team TB
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
15
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.294 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.262 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.275 |
| Observed weight | 61% |
xwOBA
0.252
0.263
0.275
0.287
0.298
wOBA
0.280
0.295
0.312
0.329
0.345
ISO
0.117
0.129
0.144
0.158
0.171
K%
18.5%
19.7%
21.0%
22.2%
23.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.0%
21
Exit velocity85.1
18
Hard-hit%31.0%
17
-18 vs proj
xBA0.247
4
xSLG0.411
16
xwOBA0.262
12
-19 vs proj
BB%9.2%
57
Bat speed67.0
20
K%20.5%
62
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · CF
63
Arm Strength89.8 · CF
20
Outs Above Avg6.0 · CF
97
Range Runs5.7 · CF
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · CF
29
Bolts3.0 · CF
42
SB Success Rate69.2% · CF
25
Sprint Speed27.8 · CF
61
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.2% · rebadged research
54
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0% · rebadged research
85
Correct Decisions68.8% · rebadged research
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
45
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
76
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
70
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
84
Resists FastballwOBA 0.288 · validated
99
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
31
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
158 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.024 |
| Sample | 337 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 509 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 17 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.289 | 0.268 to 0.339 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.147 | 0.111 to 0.226 | +/- 0.058 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 2.0% to 5.4% | +/- 1.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.1% | 28.2% to 42.3% | +/- 7.0% |
| K% | 22.1% | 19.0% to 27.9% | +/- 4.5% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 6.4% to 11.8% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.256 | 0.212 to 0.301 | +/- 0.045 |
vs LHP
954 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.228 |
| K% | 16.9% |
| BB% | 6.9% |
| Barrel | 2.5% |
vs RHP
2410 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.242 |
| K% | 19.3% |
| BB% | 7.8% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |