Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Ruiz, Keibert
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
32
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.304 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.274 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.289 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
xwOBA
0.262
0.275
0.289
0.303
0.315
wOBA
0.307
0.326
0.347
0.368
0.387
ISO
0.128
0.147
0.167
0.187
0.205
K%
8.8%
10.3%
11.9%
13.5%
15.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.4%
41
+16 vs proj
Exit velocity88.4
53
Hard-hit%38.4%
47
+32 vs proj
xBA0.269
9
xSLG0.422
20
xwOBA0.274
19
-18 vs proj
BB%3.5%
6
Bat speed65.8
10
K%11.8%
96
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.0 · C
54
Catcher Throwing-0.3 · C
42
Framing Runs2.5 · C
74
Pop Time2.0 · C
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.2 · C
7
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.5% · rebadged research
30
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.9% · rebadged research
11
Correct Decisions62.4% · rebadged research
18
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
27
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.290 · validated thin sample
25
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.368 · insufficient sample
5
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
36
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343 · validated
86
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
13
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
131 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.020 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.052 |
| Sample | 229 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 395 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 10 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.279 to 0.352 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.117 | 0.084 to 0.225 | +/- 0.071 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 1.7% to 5.8% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 30.4% | 24.7% to 37.9% | +/- 6.6% |
| K% | 11.4% | 8.6% to 20.0% | +/- 5.7% |
| BB% | 4.5% | 2.7% to 7.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.265 | 0.212 to 0.326 | +/- 0.057 |
vs LHP
502 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.240 |
| K% | 8.0% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |
vs RHP
1443 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.248 |
| K% | 8.8% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |