Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Ruiz, Keibert
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.304 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.263 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.288 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
xwOBA
0.259
0.273
0.288
0.304
0.317
wOBA
0.315
0.340
0.368
0.396
0.421
ISO
0.129
0.152
0.176
0.201
0.223
K%
8.7%
10.5%
12.5%
14.5%
16.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%2.2%
1
Barrel%5.1%
52
+25 vs proj
Bat speed65.3
8
Exit velocity89.2
57
Hard-hit%41.1%
54
+39 vs proj
K%13.2%
91
xBA0.263
9
xSLG0.437
26
xwOBA0.263
13
-23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.7 · C
81
Catcher Throwing-0.4 · C
21
Framing Runs2.1 · C
83
Pop Time2.0 · C
5
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · C
11
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6% · rebadged research
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.5% · rebadged research
9
Correct Decisions62.5% · rebadged research
17
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
34
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.256 · insufficient sample
96
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
50
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.366 · insufficient sample
4
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
35
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.349 · validated
71
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
14
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
109 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.032 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.073 |
| Sample | 136 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 395 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 10 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.279 to 0.352 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.117 | 0.084 to 0.225 | +/- 0.071 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 1.7% to 5.8% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 30.4% | 24.7% to 37.9% | +/- 6.6% |
| K% | 11.4% | 8.6% to 20.0% | +/- 5.7% |
| BB% | 4.5% | 2.7% to 7.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.265 | 0.212 to 0.326 | +/- 0.057 |
vs LHP
502 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.240 |
| K% | 8.0% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |
vs RHP
1443 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.248 |
| K% | 8.8% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |