Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Ruiz, Keibert
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
30
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.303 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.284 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.292 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.268
0.279
0.292
0.304
0.316
wOBA
0.316
0.331
0.349
0.367
0.383
ISO
0.126
0.141
0.158
0.175
0.190
K%
8.5%
9.7%
11.1%
12.5%
13.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
30
Exit velocity87.7
49
Hard-hit%36.6%
42
+25 vs proj
xBA0.276
12
xSLG0.414
17
xwOBA0.284
28
BB%5.1%
15
Bat speed66.0
12
K%10.5%
98
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.2 · C
44
Catcher Throwing-1.9 · C
12
Framing Runs2.1 · C
73
Pop Time2.0 · C
4
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.1 · C
6
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.8% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.0% · rebadged research
14
Correct Decisions62.9% · rebadged research
21
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.330 · borderline
6
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · insufficient sample
94
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
68
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.362 · insufficient sample
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.360 · validated
18
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339 · validated
85
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
13
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
178 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.054 |
| Sample | 333 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 395 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 10 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.279 to 0.352 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.117 | 0.084 to 0.225 | +/- 0.071 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 1.7% to 5.8% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 30.4% | 24.7% to 37.9% | +/- 6.6% |
| K% | 11.4% | 8.6% to 20.0% | +/- 5.7% |
| BB% | 4.5% | 2.7% to 7.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.265 | 0.212 to 0.326 | +/- 0.057 |
vs LHP
502 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.240 |
| K% | 8.0% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |
vs RHP
1443 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.248 |
| K% | 8.8% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |