Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SD · 2026
None
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team SD
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.240 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.351 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.255 |
| Observed weight | 14% |
xwOBA
0.185
0.218
0.255
0.292
0.326
wOBA
0.290
0.341
0.396
0.452
0.502
ISO
0.038
0.084
0.134
0.185
0.231
K%
13.9%
19.6%
26.0%
32.4%
38.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Pop Time1.9 · C
90
Blocking Runs0.2 · C
Limited
Catcher Throwing1.8 · C
Limited
Framing Runs-0.7 · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.6% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
32
Correct Decisions63.3% · rebadged research
24
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
48
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
63
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
40
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
74
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
33
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
17 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.281 | 0.101 to 0.260 | +/- 0.080 |
| ISO | 0.119 | 0.001 to 0.222 | +/- 0.111 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.2% to 6.3% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.8% | 8.5% to 42.8% | +/- 17.1% |
| K% | 24.6% | 8.6% to 36.6% | +/- 14.0% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 1.0% to 10.0% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.146 to 0.362 | +/- 0.108 |
vs LHP
7 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.0% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |
vs RHP
17 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |