Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SD · 2026
None
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team SD
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 28
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
28
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.240 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.257 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.245 |
| Observed weight | 31% |
xwOBA
0.187
0.215
0.245
0.276
0.303
wOBA
0.243
0.271
0.302
0.334
0.362
ISO
0.062
0.099
0.140
0.181
0.218
K%
15.7%
20.4%
25.6%
30.8%
35.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.1%
67
+42 vs proj
Exit velocity86.9
33
Hard-hit%32.3%
22
xBA0.255
5
xSLG0.459
31
xwOBA0.257
10
BB%8.2%
45
+23 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
63
K%26.5%
29
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.4 · C
28
Catcher Throwing1.9 · C
92
Framing Runs-1.2 · C
31
Pop Time1.9 · C
92
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.5 · C
53
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.7% · rebadged research
10
Correct Decisions61.5% · rebadged research
13
Fastball Stuff+84
1
Mithrandir Stuff+76
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
55
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
64
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
80
Resists FastballwOBA 0.329 · validated
69
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346 · validated
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
18
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
30 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.021 |
| Sample | 98 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.281 | 0.101 to 0.260 | +/- 0.080 |
| ISO | 0.119 | 0.001 to 0.222 | +/- 0.111 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.2% to 6.3% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.8% | 8.5% to 42.8% | +/- 17.1% |
| K% | 24.6% | 8.6% to 36.6% | +/- 14.0% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 1.0% to 10.0% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.146 to 0.362 | +/- 0.108 |
vs LHP
7 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.0% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |
vs RHP
17 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 1.1% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |