Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
Bart, Joey
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team ATL
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
41
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.284 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.286 |
| Observed weight | 33% |
xwOBA
0.255
0.269
0.286
0.302
0.317
wOBA
0.280
0.307
0.338
0.369
0.396
ISO
0.087
0.107
0.130
0.152
0.173
K%
22.8%
24.9%
27.2%
29.5%
31.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
56
Exit velocity86.2
28
Hard-hit%34.8%
30
xBA0.300
27
xSLG0.579
71
xwOBA0.289
31
BB%2.8%
4
-49 vs proj
Bat speed73.2
91
K%31.2%
12
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
59
Catcher Throwing-0.3 · C
41
Framing Runs-2.1 · C
23
Pop Time1.9 · C
50
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · C
29
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.5% · rebadged research
45
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0% · rebadged research
41
Correct Decisions64.3% · rebadged research
30
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.305 · borderline
17
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · insufficient sample
26
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.318 · validated
86
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
36
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
40
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
49 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.000 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.049 |
| Sample | 109 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 406 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.289 | 0.257 to 0.332 | +/- 0.037 |
| ISO | 0.124 | 0.088 to 0.209 | +/- 0.061 |
| Barrel% | 4.6% | 3.2% to 7.5% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.3% | 32.8% to 45.5% | +/- 6.4% |
| K% | 28.0% | 19.4% to 31.4% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 8.9% | 6.7% to 11.8% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.304 | 0.254 to 0.363 | +/- 0.054 |
vs LHP
363 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.245 |
| K% | 19.6% |
| BB% | 7.8% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |
vs RHP
846 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.226 |
| K% | 19.9% |
| BB% | 7.5% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |