Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / SD · 2026
France, Ty
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team SD
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.319 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.336 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.326 |
| Observed weight | 37% |
xwOBA
0.297
0.310
0.326
0.341
0.354
wOBA
0.387
0.413
0.443
0.472
0.499
ISO
0.146
0.165
0.186
0.208
0.227
K%
17.5%
19.0%
20.6%
22.3%
23.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%3.9%
8
Barrel%10.1%
94
+48 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
45
Exit velocity90.6
79
Hard-hit%47.3%
82
+29 vs proj
K%21.7%
51
-18 vs proj
xBA0.348
74
xSLG0.650
84
xwOBA0.336
72
+17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength77.2 · 1B
3
Outs Above Avg4.0 · 1B
93
Range Runs3.6 · 1B
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.8 · 1B
4
SB Success Rate0.0% · 1B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.7% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research
65
Correct Decisions67.9% · rebadged research
66
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
62
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
37
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.301 · validated thin sample
7
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
31
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
40
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371 · validated
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
34
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
88 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.128 |
| Sample | 129 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 512 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 10 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.314 | 0.292 to 0.358 | +/- 0.033 |
| ISO | 0.123 | 0.079 to 0.192 | +/- 0.057 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 3.3% to 7.2% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 40.8% | 37.1% to 47.4% | +/- 5.1% |
| K% | 18.9% | 15.6% to 24.0% | +/- 4.2% |
| BB% | 5.7% | 4.6% to 8.8% | +/- 2.1% |
| BABIP | 0.289 | 0.265 to 0.336 | +/- 0.035 |
vs LHP
988 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.290 |
| K% | 16.0% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 5.0% |
vs RHP
2500 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.277 |
| K% | 15.5% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 3.9% |