Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / MIN · 2026
Clemens, Kody
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIN
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.324 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.321 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.304
0.321
0.338
0.353
wOBA
0.335
0.356
0.379
0.402
0.423
ISO
0.159
0.177
0.196
0.215
0.232
K%
19.9%
21.5%
23.4%
25.3%
27.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.5%
24
Barrel%9.5%
91
+30 vs proj
Bat speed69.3
44
Exit velocity91.3
87
Hard-hit%44.4%
69
K%23.0%
43
xBA0.321
46
xSLG0.582
70
xwOBA0.324
63
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · 1B
5
Arm Strength87.3 · 1B
66
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 1B
71
Range Runs0.8 · 1B
61
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.9 · 1B
17
Bolts1.0 · 1B
17
SB Success Rate71.4% · 1B
29
Sprint Speed27.6 · 1B
58
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.5% · rebadged research
45
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions65.4% · rebadged research
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.302 · borderline
18
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.298 · insufficient sample
9
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
24
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
92
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
45
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.342 · validated
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
41
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
126 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.070 |
| Sample | 200 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 421 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 17 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.309 | 0.261 to 0.356 | +/- 0.048 |
| ISO | 0.181 | 0.133 to 0.254 | +/- 0.061 |
| Barrel% | 5.9% | 3.9% to 7.9% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.1% | 39.6% to 51.7% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 23.5% | 19.0% to 30.7% | +/- 5.9% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 5.1% to 9.7% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.270 | 0.222 to 0.312 | +/- 0.045 |
vs LHP
180 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.205 |
| K% | 18.3% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 3.8% |
vs RHP
709 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.227 |
| K% | 17.5% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 5.2% |