Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Conine, Griffin
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
93
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.2%
88
Exit velocity91.1
88
Hard-hit%50.0%
93
xBA0.393
97
xSLG0.763
98
xwOBA0.368
96
BB%11.5%
84
Bat speed71.9
79
K%30.0%
16
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.9 · RF
28
Arm Strength97.0 · RF
76
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
48
Range Runs-1.0 · RF
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · RF
31
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.4% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.9% · rebadged research
80
Correct Decisions66.3% · rebadged research
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
57
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
5
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.260 · validated thin sample
89
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
32
Resists FastballwOBA 0.333 · validated
60
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
76 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 243 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 263 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.240 to 0.346 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.174 | 0.103 to 0.217 | +/- 0.057 |
| Barrel% | 5.4% | 2.1% to 8.1% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.9% | 30.7% to 47.8% | +/- 8.6% |
| K% | 28.4% | 19.1% to 31.9% | +/- 6.4% |
| BB% | 7.6% | 4.0% to 10.1% | +/- 3.0% |
| BABIP | 0.326 | 0.261 to 0.380 | +/- 0.059 |
vs LHP
47 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.119 |
| K% | 13.2% |
| BB% | 3.0% |
| Barrel | 2.1% |
vs RHP
156 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.128 |
| K% | 13.4% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |