Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Rivero, Sebastián
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team LAA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 28
Status IL-10
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
16
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.251 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.267 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.255 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
xwOBA
0.177
0.214
0.255
0.296
0.333
wOBA
0.276
0.310
0.348
0.386
0.420
ISO
0.009
0.042
0.079
0.116
0.149
K%
15.2%
19.7%
24.7%
29.7%
34.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.4%
7
-18 vs proj
Exit velocity82.6
6
Hard-hit%21.2%
3
xBA0.331
58
xSLG0.386
10
xwOBA0.267
14
BB%5.6%
15
Bat speed68.1
28
K%19.4%
66
+36 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.9 · C
89
Catcher Throwing-0.5 · C
35
Framing Runs1.3 · C
69
Pop Time1.9 · C
55
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · C
11
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 49.0% · rebadged research
4
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.6% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions61.0% · rebadged research
11
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
38
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
60
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
63
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
49
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
57
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline86
7
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
42 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.002 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.083 |
| Sample | 72 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 217 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.266 | 0.091 to 0.293 | +/- 0.101 |
| ISO | 0.109 | 0.014 to 0.199 | +/- 0.092 |
| Barrel% | 3.3% | 0.3% to 5.3% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 29.7% | 12.0% to 37.4% | +/- 12.7% |
| K% | 25.7% | 11.6% to 36.6% | +/- 12.5% |
| BB% | 5.5% | 0.9% to 8.6% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.282 | 0.157 to 0.342 | +/- 0.092 |
vs LHP
27 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.027 |
| K% | 4.2% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.7% |
vs RHP
95 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.025 |
| K% | 4.7% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.7% |