Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts
Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Fermín, José
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.332 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.280 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 47% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
José Fermín's tools (73) outpace production (77) by -4 points. Primary finding: excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go by.
Field-coordinate spray profile
92 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.029 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.022 |
| Sample | 195 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 255 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.309 | 0.255 to 0.342 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.136 | 0.060 to 0.207 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% | 2.3% | 0.2% to 4.8% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 30.4% | 22.9% to 43.2% | +/- 10.2% |
| K% | 14.3% | 10.0% to 23.0% | +/- 6.5% |
| BB% | 9.1% | 5.3% to 11.3% | +/- 3.0% |
| BABIP | 0.276 | 0.228 to 0.328 | +/- 0.050 |
84 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.138 |
| K% | 5.3% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 0.5% |
173 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.139 |
| K% | 5.8% |
| BB% | 4.5% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |