Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Ruiz, Esteury
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
29
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.306 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.298 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.255
0.275
0.298
0.320
0.340
wOBA
0.308
0.327
0.348
0.370
0.389
ISO
0.111
0.134
0.160
0.186
0.209
K%
23.8%
25.6%
27.7%
29.7%
31.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
37
Exit velocity81.1
4
Hard-hit%26.1%
8
xBA0.304
34
xSLG0.507
53
xwOBA0.289
35
BB%9.8%
67
+53 vs proj
Bat speed66.6
17
K%31.7%
11
-34 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.5 · RF
5
Arm Strength88.5 · RF
16
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs-1.1 · RF
34
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.9 · RF
93
Bolts23.0 · RF
76
SB Success Rate84.8% · RF
64
Sprint Speed29.9 · RF
98
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6% · rebadged research
36
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions64.8% · rebadged research
35
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline
40
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
82
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
91
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
20
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333 · validated
91
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
73 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.007 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.052 |
| Sample | 224 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 223 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.205 to 0.357 | +/- 0.076 |
| ISO | 0.124 | 0.049 to 0.236 | +/- 0.094 |
| Barrel% | 2.9% | 0.9% to 5.7% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 26.9% | 18.8% to 40.3% | +/- 10.8% |
| K% | 23.8% | 18.5% to 32.0% | +/- 6.8% |
| BB% | 5.0% | 3.3% to 8.8% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.300 | 0.240 to 0.368 | +/- 0.064 |
vs LHP
240 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.186 |
| K% | 13.7% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 2.4% |
vs RHP
433 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.173 |
| K% | 14.4% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |