Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026

Bichette, Bo

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.341 xwOBA
Range
0.312 to 0.384
Live Δ
yes
Team NYM Archetype Balanced regular Age 28 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.347
xwOBA current pace0.333
xwOBA rolling p500.339
Observed weight56%
xwOBA
0.313 0.325 0.339 0.353 0.365
wOBA
0.280 0.297 0.316 0.335 0.352
ISO
0.106 0.120 0.135 0.151 0.165
K%
13.3% 14.5% 15.7% 17.0% 18.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.3%
42 +21 vs proj
Barrel%5.4%
56
Bat speed68.1
29
Exit velocity91.3
87
Hard-hit%47.6%
83
K%15.6%
85
xBA0.339
65
xSLG0.522
53
xwOBA0.333
70
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
60
Arm Strength88.6 · 3B
73
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
81
Range Runs0.1 · 3B
44
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.9 · 3B
15
Sprint Speed25.8 · 3B
16
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.2% · rebadged research
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions63.0% · rebadged research
20
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
22
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.264 · borderline
89
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
12
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
50
Resists FastballwOBA 0.307 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.332 · validated
93
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Bichette, Bo · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3202026-05-19: 0.3192026-05-21: 0.3332026-05-23: 0.3262026-05-24: 0.3212026-05-25: 0.3222026-05-26: 0.3232026-05-28: 0.3292026-05-29: 0.3292026-05-30: 0.3292026-05-31: 0.3292026-06-01: 0.333 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Bo Bichette's tools (100) outpace production (79) by 21 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Also flagged: Contact-Discipline Mismatch. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.

See full optimization →

Launch Angle Too Low
+17.0° Current -1° → Target 16°

Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Chase Rate Problem
Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment

Protected takes / Chase risk
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

203 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Bichette, Bo · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsPull 9%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 21% of plotted batted ballsOppo 21% LF 335 CF 408 RF 330 2026-03-15 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 2.02026-03-17 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 29.02026-03-17 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 14.02026-03-17 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -16.02026-03-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 110.3 / LA 0.02026-03-19 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 72.5 / LA 28.02026-03-20 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -5.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -32.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -6.02026-03-21 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -10.02026-03-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA -1.02026-03-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 92.5 / LA -15.02026-03-22 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 10.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 69.5 / LA 32.02026-03-26 · sac fly · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 44.02026-03-28 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 3.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 3.02026-03-28 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 44.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 48.1 / LA -50.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -2.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -19.02026-03-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 9.02026-03-30 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 15.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA -21.02026-03-30 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA -8.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.4 / LA -5.02026-03-31 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 30.02026-03-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 3.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 31.02026-04-01 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 21.02026-04-01 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 2.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.2 / LA -20.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -18.02026-04-02 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 22.02026-04-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 33.02026-04-02 · double play · FF · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 8.02026-04-03 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 15.02026-04-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.7 / LA 11.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.4 / LA -15.02026-04-03 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 100.6 / LA 10.02026-04-04 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 8.02026-04-04 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 8.02026-04-04 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 22.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA -25.02026-04-05 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 81.2 / LA -38.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -4.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -14.02026-04-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.4 / LA 5.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 27.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA -24.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 6.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 32.02026-04-08 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 0.02026-04-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 7.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 90.9 / LA 16.02026-04-09 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 79.5 / LA 25.02026-04-09 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 66.1 / LA -7.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 2.02026-04-10 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 76.7 / LA 23.02026-04-11 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 93.9 / LA 9.02026-04-11 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 30.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.4 / LA -1.02026-04-12 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -3.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 5.02026-04-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 108.9 / LA 3.02026-04-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 6.02026-04-14 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 80.4 / LA 15.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA -3.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.1 / LA -7.02026-04-15 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 82.7 / LA 16.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA -23.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -15.02026-04-17 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA -13.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 16.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 7.02026-04-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 13.02026-04-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -7.02026-04-18 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 108.0 / LA 0.02026-04-18 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 26.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · popup · EV 61.5 / LA 71.02026-04-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA -5.02026-04-19 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -21.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 111.5 / LA 18.02026-04-21 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 65.8 / LA 34.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · popup · EV 57.5 / LA 59.02026-04-21 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.7 / LA 6.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 40.02026-04-22 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.4 / LA 9.02026-04-22 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -8.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 34.02026-04-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 110.0 / LA -5.02026-04-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA -19.02026-04-23 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 22.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 23.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -17.02026-04-24 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -2.02026-04-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 3.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.2 / LA 0.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.7 / LA -10.02026-04-26 · field out · SV · popup · EV 82.7 / LA 62.02026-04-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 9.02026-04-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.4 / LA 29.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -11.02026-04-28 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 25.02026-04-28 · sac fly · SL · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 21.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.3 / LA -31.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -4.02026-04-29 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA 6.02026-04-29 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 2.02026-04-29 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 27.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -7.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA -33.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 15.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 14.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA -36.02026-05-01 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.7 / LA 2.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 3.02026-05-02 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 1.02026-05-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 11.02026-05-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.6 / LA -16.02026-05-02 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA -27.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 49.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA -17.02026-05-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -14.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -55.02026-05-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.3 / LA -1.02026-05-04 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 69.0 / LA -1.02026-05-04 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA -1.02026-05-04 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 36.3 / LA -30.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -7.02026-05-06 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 6.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.6 / LA -25.02026-05-06 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 14.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 31.02026-05-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.2 / LA -10.02026-05-07 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 86.8 / LA 35.02026-05-07 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -15.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -16.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 57.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 30.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 36.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 38.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 32.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 75.8 / LA 17.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 90.4 / LA 23.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 84.2 / LA 28.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -8.02026-05-12 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 71.8 / LA 19.02026-05-12 · fielders choice · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.3 / LA -14.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.5 / LA 30.02026-05-13 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -1.02026-05-13 · fielders choice out · CU · ground_ball · EV 29.5 / LA -39.02026-05-13 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 49.02026-05-13 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 71.7 / LA 33.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 32.02026-05-14 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 35.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA -10.02026-05-15 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.0 / LA 34.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 31.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 20.02026-05-16 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 60.9 / LA -71.02026-05-16 · field out · ST · popup · EV 68.1 / LA 63.02026-05-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA -7.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 4.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 23.02026-05-17 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 33.02026-05-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 0.02026-05-18 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 33.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 41.02026-05-18 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 24.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 31.02026-05-18 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 106.0 / LA -2.02026-05-18 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 21.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 114.9 / LA -9.02026-05-19 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -39.02026-05-19 · home run · SI · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 20.02026-05-19 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 24.02026-05-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 32.02026-05-20 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 18.02026-05-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 12.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA -27.02026-05-21 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 105.6 / LA -10.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -12.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 34.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 44.02026-05-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 35.02026-05-23 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 74.0 / LA -10.02026-05-23 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 71.3 / LA 2.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 64.6 / LA -70.02026-05-24 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 111.4 / LA 4.02026-05-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 25.02026-05-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA -9.02026-05-25 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 76.5 / LA 23.02026-05-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 5.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.7 / LA 52.02026-05-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 11.02026-05-26 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 78.7 / LA 48.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 29.02026-05-27 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 41.02026-05-27 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 89.7 / LA 25.02026-05-31 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 31.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -16.02026-05-31 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 108.3 / LA 18.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Bichette, Bo · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 37.1° Length 7.1 ft Ideal path 25% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Bichette, Bo · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 1.1° Direction +5.3° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Bichette, Bo · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 69.3 mph Hard swing rate 11% Whiff / swing 25% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Bichette, Bo · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 38%38%Whiff: 14%14%Zone contact: 93%93%Contact: 86%86%Hard hit: 48%48% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.008
wOBA Δ-0.025
Sample276 PA

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances575----
Home Runs16----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3410.312 to 0.384+/- 0.036
ISO0.1510.105 to 0.225+/- 0.060
Barrel%5.5%4.0% to 8.0%+/- 2.0%
Hard-Hit%45.2%44.0% to 53.0%+/- 4.5%
K%16.3%13.4% to 21.8%+/- 4.2%
BB%6.1%4.7% to 9.0%+/- 2.2%
BABIP0.3240.296 to 0.368+/- 0.036
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

744 career PA

xwOBA0.306
K%12.2%
BB%5.7%
Barrel6.2%
vs RHP

2756 career PA

xwOBA0.292
K%14.7%
BB%5.1%
Barrel5.0%