Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / HOU · 2026
Trammell, Taylor
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team HOU
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
48
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.260 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.287 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.274 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.236
0.254
0.274
0.295
0.313
wOBA
0.275
0.293
0.313
0.333
0.350
ISO
0.117
0.139
0.163
0.187
0.209
K%
24.4%
26.4%
28.6%
30.8%
32.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.2%
81
+20 vs proj
Exit velocity87.0
40
Hard-hit%37.2%
44
-18 vs proj
xBA0.289
20
xSLG0.566
71
xwOBA0.287
32
BB%9.2%
59
Bat speed73.5
92
K%30.3%
15
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.2 · LF
24
Arm Strength86.1 · LF
5
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
88
Range Runs-0.7 · LF
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.5 · CF
50
SB Success Rate75.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.5% · rebadged research
61
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.3% · rebadged research
23
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · borderline
77
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.298 · insufficient sample
11
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
77
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
24
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
39
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
84 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.015 |
| Sample | 251 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 270 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.196 to 0.341 | +/- 0.072 |
| ISO | 0.162 | 0.054 to 0.241 | +/- 0.093 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 1.4% to 7.3% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.0% | 23.6% to 48.2% | +/- 12.3% |
| K% | 33.1% | 20.9% to 36.9% | +/- 8.0% |
| BB% | 10.1% | 4.7% to 12.5% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.267 | 0.170 to 0.339 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
127 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.121 |
| K% | 14.1% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
429 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.119 |
| K% | 14.8% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |