Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / HOU · 2026
Trammell, Taylor
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team HOU
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
51
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.260 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.285 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.270 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
xwOBA
0.221
0.244
0.270
0.295
0.318
wOBA
0.285
0.310
0.338
0.365
0.390
ISO
0.101
0.130
0.161
0.193
0.221
K%
24.2%
26.7%
29.5%
32.3%
34.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
65
Exit velocity87.4
40
Hard-hit%35.9%
34
-24 vs proj
xBA0.333
62
xSLG0.598
76
xwOBA0.285
27
BB%7.5%
36
-31 vs proj
Bat speed72.7
85
K%33.6%
6
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · CF
41
Arm Strength84.2 · CF
2
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Range Runs-1.0 · CF
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · CF
34
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.6% · rebadged research
71
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0% · rebadged research
41
Correct Decisions68.5% · rebadged research
73
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.270 · borderline
85
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · insufficient sample
26
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
41
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
40
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374 · validated
17
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
66
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
44 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.040 |
| Sample | 134 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 270 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.196 to 0.341 | +/- 0.072 |
| ISO | 0.162 | 0.054 to 0.241 | +/- 0.093 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 1.4% to 7.3% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.0% | 23.6% to 47.9% | +/- 12.1% |
| K% | 33.1% | 21.0% to 36.9% | +/- 8.0% |
| BB% | 10.1% | 4.7% to 12.5% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.267 | 0.170 to 0.339 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
127 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.121 |
| K% | 14.1% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
429 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.119 |
| K% | 14.8% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |