Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / HOU · 2026
Trammell, Taylor
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team HOU
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.260 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.254 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.259 |
| Observed weight | 23% |
xwOBA
0.201
0.229
0.259
0.289
0.316
wOBA
0.354
0.390
0.431
0.472
0.509
ISO
0.085
0.119
0.158
0.196
0.230
K%
21.8%
24.8%
28.1%
31.4%
34.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%7.5%
34
-31 vs proj
Barrel%3.0%
23
-34 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
73
Exit velocity85.5
18
Hard-hit%33.3%
24
-29 vs proj
K%32.8%
5
xBA0.326
54
xSLG0.446
29
xwOBA0.254
9
-29 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
45
Arm Runs0.3 · CF
Limited
Range Runs-0.7 · CF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · CF
33
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.0% · rebadged research
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.9% · rebadged research
42
Correct Decisions68.6% · rebadged research
73
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
26
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
23
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
44
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
68
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
32 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.044 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.133 |
| Sample | 67 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 270 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.196 to 0.341 | +/- 0.072 |
| ISO | 0.162 | 0.054 to 0.241 | +/- 0.093 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 1.4% to 7.3% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.0% | 23.6% to 47.9% | +/- 12.1% |
| K% | 33.1% | 20.9% to 36.9% | +/- 8.0% |
| BB% | 10.1% | 4.7% to 12.5% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.267 | 0.170 to 0.339 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
127 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.121 |
| K% | 14.1% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
429 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.119 |
| K% | 14.8% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |