Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / COL · 2026

Julien, Edouard

On-base driven regular with stable floor

Primary
0.340 xwOBA
Range
0.301 to 0.392
Live Δ
yes
Team COL Archetype Balanced regular Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.327
xwOBA current pace0.325
xwOBA rolling p500.326
Observed weight45%
xwOBA
0.294 0.309 0.326 0.343 0.358
wOBA
0.307 0.328 0.352 0.376 0.397
ISO
0.092 0.115 0.141 0.166 0.189
K%
23.6% 25.6% 27.9% 30.1% 32.2%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.1%
87
Barrel%4.9%
47 -15 vs proj
Bat speed69.7
50
Exit velocity90.3
76
Hard-hit%48.6%
86 +17 vs proj
K%27.9%
23
xBA0.349
74
xSLG0.575
69
xwOBA0.325
64
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · 2B
25
Arm Strength79.1 · 2B
9
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
45
Range Runs-2.5 · 2B
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · 2B
46
Sprint Speed26.4 · 2B
25
SB Success Rate75.0% · 2B
Limited
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.6% · rebadged research
87
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.8% · rebadged research
54
Correct Decisions69.8% · rebadged research
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
53
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
78
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
67
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
69
Resists FastballwOBA 0.316 · validated
89
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
36
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
84
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Julien, Edouard · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3352026-05-19: 0.3292026-05-21: 0.3282026-05-23: 0.3272026-05-24: 0.3272026-05-25: 0.3202026-05-26: 0.3242026-05-28: 0.3212026-05-29: 0.3202026-05-30: 0.3202026-05-31: 0.3212026-06-01: 0.325 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

102 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Julien, Edouard · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 347 CF 415 RF 350 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 108.5 / LA 17.02026-03-17 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 10.02026-03-19 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 53.7 / LA -4.02026-03-19 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA -17.02026-03-20 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 2.02026-03-22 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 32.02026-03-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -1.02026-03-23 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -27.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA -5.02026-03-24 · triple · FS · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -12.02026-03-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 66.6 / LA 13.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA -15.02026-03-28 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 28.02026-03-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 74.7 / LA 10.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.9 / LA 20.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 31.02026-04-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 49.0 / LA -73.02026-04-06 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 83.6 / LA 28.02026-04-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 5.02026-04-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 15.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA -18.02026-04-07 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 0.02026-04-07 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 73.8 / LA 10.02026-04-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA 3.02026-04-08 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -8.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -21.02026-04-08 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 102.9 / LA 16.02026-04-09 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 99.7 / LA 13.02026-04-09 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 97.5 / LA -4.02026-04-10 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 99.7 / LA 22.02026-04-10 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.1 / LA -1.02026-04-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 90.9 / LA -22.02026-04-11 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 27.02026-04-11 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 11.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.1 / LA -3.02026-04-12 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -5.02026-04-12 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.1 / LA -20.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 33.02026-04-15 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 75.8 / LA 18.02026-04-16 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 68.3 / LA 18.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 22.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.3 / LA -11.02026-04-17 · grounded into double play · KC · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -6.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 9.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 30.02026-04-19 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 23.02026-04-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 13.02026-04-19 · grounded into double play · FO · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA 3.02026-04-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -10.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.8 / LA 10.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -24.02026-04-21 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 12.02026-04-22 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 3.02026-04-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 57.1 / LA -25.02026-04-23 · triple · KN · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 16.02026-04-23 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.4 / LA -2.02026-04-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.8 / LA -1.02026-04-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 13.02026-04-26 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 23.02026-04-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -18.02026-04-26 · field out · FO · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 40.02026-04-26 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 7.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 35.02026-04-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.5 / LA 3.02026-04-28 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 5.02026-04-28 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 107.1 / LA 28.02026-04-28 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 4.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 46.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 109.1 / LA -16.02026-05-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.9 / LA 45.02026-05-06 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 18.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 3.02026-05-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.2 / LA 19.02026-05-06 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 39.02026-05-07 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 75.6 / LA 11.02026-05-07 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -19.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 28.02026-05-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 46.02026-05-09 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 6.02026-05-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -1.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 33.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 3.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 20.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 54.4 / LA 31.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -14.02026-05-14 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA -6.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 26.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 26.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.1 / LA -15.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 17.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -30.02026-05-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 56.3 / LA 31.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 10.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.2 / LA -24.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 0.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.8 / LA 1.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · popup · EV 75.7 / LA 53.02026-05-24 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.7 / LA -39.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 38.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.6 / LA 10.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 49.5 / LA 29.02026-05-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.0 / LA -27.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Julien, Edouard · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 20%20%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 49%49% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.255 vs 0.215 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
3
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.015
wOBA Δ+0.012
Sample183 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances350----
Home Runs10----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3400.301 to 0.392+/- 0.046
ISO0.1790.094 to 0.264+/- 0.085
Barrel%6.0%3.7% to 9.6%+/- 3.0%
Hard-Hit%44.5%37.0% to 51.7%+/- 7.4%
K%28.4%23.5% to 37.6%+/- 7.0%
BB%11.6%8.2% to 14.9%+/- 3.4%
BABIP0.3260.274 to 0.387+/- 0.057
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

139 career PA

xwOBA0.215
K%23.4%
BB%6.3%
Barrel3.6%
vs RHP

855 career PA

xwOBA0.255
K%23.1%
BB%10.6%
Barrel5.1%