Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / DET · 2026

Julks, Corey

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.293 xwOBA
Range
0.228 to 0.346
Live Δ
--
Team DET Archetype Balanced regular Age 30 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
35
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
66
Plate skills7 metrics
31
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-08-31
xwOBA preseason0.294
xwOBA current pace0.188
xwOBA rolling p500.288
Observed weight6%
xwOBA
0.232 0.258 0.288 0.317 0.344
wOBA
0.259 0.343 0.436 0.528 0.612
ISO
0.059 0.096 0.138 0.179 0.217
K%
17.6% 20.6% 24.0% 27.4% 30.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.5 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
66 Regression applied
Range Runs0.4 · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-08-31
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.0% · rebadged research
93
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 62.5% · rebadged research
0
Correct Decisions60.0% · rebadged research
9
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.337 · validated
50
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline75
2
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

27 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Julks, Corey · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsPull 22%Center field third: 63% of plotted batted ballsCenter 63%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 345 CF 420 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 42.02026-03-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -12.02026-03-16 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA -30.02026-03-16 · field out · SI · popup · EV 69.6 / LA 83.02026-03-17 · grounded into double play · FS · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -9.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 33.02026-08-15 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 27.02026-08-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA 3.02026-08-23 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 74.5 / LA 34.02025-03-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA -3.02025-03-16 · triple · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 29.02025-03-16 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 110.5 / LA 7.02025-03-16 · field out · SI · popup · EV 66.3 / LA 48.02025-03-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -16.02025-03-21 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.2 / LA -41.02025-03-22 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 83.9 / LA 25.02025-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 46.02025-08-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 27.02025-08-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 25.02025-08-08 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.9 / LA -4.02025-08-08 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 54.02025-08-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 24.02025-08-09 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 47.7 / LA -72.02025-09-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 32.02025-09-24 · fielders choice · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA -35.02025-09-25 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 33.02025-09-25 · sac fly · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 25.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Julks, Corey · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 57%57%Chase: 24%24%Whiff: 15%15%Zone contact: 94%94%Contact: 85%85%Hard hit: 25%25% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances235----
Home Runs5----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2930.228 to 0.346+/- 0.059
ISO0.1300.063 to 0.230+/- 0.084
Barrel%3.0%0.9% to 5.6%+/- 2.3%
Hard-Hit%32.3%27.0% to 44.7%+/- 8.8%
K%23.3%19.4% to 33.0%+/- 6.8%
BB%7.2%4.7% to 9.9%+/- 2.6%
BABIP0.2980.208 to 0.358+/- 0.075
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

193 career PA

xwOBA0.170
K%15.7%
BB%4.8%
Barrel1.6%
vs RHP

402 career PA

xwOBA0.172
K%15.1%
BB%4.7%
Barrel2.0%