Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.227 vs 0.194 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
Myers, Dane
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CIN
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
47
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.316 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.313 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.314 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.284
0.298
0.314
0.330
0.344
wOBA
0.331
0.348
0.366
0.385
0.402
ISO
0.099
0.115
0.134
0.152
0.169
K%
21.1%
22.4%
23.9%
25.4%
26.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
19
-49 vs proj
Exit velocity87.1
41
Hard-hit%37.2%
45
-29 vs proj
xBA0.332
65
xSLG0.502
51
xwOBA0.313
60
BB%11.4%
83
+53 vs proj
Bat speed68.6
37
K%24.1%
43
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · CF
26
Arm Strength103.0 · CF
98
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
49
Range Runs0.3 · CF
49
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.8 · CF
89
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
94
Sprint Speed27.9 · CF
62
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.2% · rebadged research
84
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.8% · rebadged research
14
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
58
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
31
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.264 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
34
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample
87
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.388 · validated
6
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
132 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.008 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.061 |
| Sample | 299 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 392 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.305 | 0.258 to 0.366 | +/- 0.054 |
| ISO | 0.158 | 0.063 to 0.215 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 6.0% | 2.6% to 7.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.4% | 35.1% to 50.6% | +/- 7.7% |
| K% | 24.4% | 19.6% to 29.7% | +/- 5.1% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 4.5% to 9.6% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.242 to 0.351 | +/- 0.055 |
vs LHP
218 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.227 |
| K% | 15.5% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |
vs RHP
337 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.194 |
| K% | 18.2% |
| BB% | 4.2% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |