Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.227 vs 0.194 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
Myers, Dane
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CIN
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
62
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.316 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.355 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.332 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
xwOBA
0.294
0.312
0.332
0.352
0.369
wOBA
0.353
0.376
0.403
0.430
0.454
ISO
0.102
0.124
0.149
0.173
0.195
K%
20.8%
22.5%
24.3%
26.1%
27.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.9%
31
-35 vs proj
Exit velocity87.5
43
Hard-hit%36.4%
37
-31 vs proj
xBA0.382
93
xSLG0.636
84
xwOBA0.355
87
+40 vs proj
BB%12.3%
86
+59 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
46
K%25.2%
36
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.1 · CF
6
Arm Strength99.1 · CF
92
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs0.9 · CF
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
93
Sprint Speed27.7 · CF
58
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 78.0% · rebadged research
97
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.0% · rebadged research
13
Correct Decisions68.7% · rebadged research
76
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
58
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
57
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
77
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.399 · validated
3
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
83
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
74 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.050 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.098 |
| Sample | 155 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 392 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.305 | 0.258 to 0.366 | +/- 0.054 |
| ISO | 0.158 | 0.063 to 0.215 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 6.0% | 2.6% to 7.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.4% | 35.1% to 50.6% | +/- 7.7% |
| K% | 24.4% | 19.6% to 29.7% | +/- 5.1% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 4.5% to 9.6% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.242 to 0.351 | +/- 0.055 |
vs LHP
218 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.227 |
| K% | 15.5% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |
vs RHP
337 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.194 |
| K% | 18.2% |
| BB% | 4.2% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |