Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.227 vs 0.194 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
Myers, Dane
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CIN
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.316 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.378 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.337 |
| Observed weight | 34% |
xwOBA
0.296
0.316
0.337
0.358
0.378
wOBA
0.367
0.395
0.426
0.458
0.486
ISO
0.105
0.130
0.157
0.184
0.209
K%
20.9%
22.7%
24.7%
26.7%
28.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%12.4%
83
+57 vs proj
Barrel%5.3%
54
Bat speed70.5
64
Exit velocity88.5
50
Hard-hit%38.1%
42
-22 vs proj
K%26.5%
29
xBA0.409
98
xSLG0.734
94
xwOBA0.378
91
+46 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength96.5 · CF
81
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Arm Runs-1.3 · CF
Limited
Range Runs0.8 · CF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · CF
47
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 78.3% · rebadged research
98
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.5% · rebadged research
14
Correct Decisions68.9% · rebadged research
75
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
43
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
70
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
81
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
78
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353 · validated
29
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.399 · validated
2
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
85
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
66 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.073 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.121 |
| Sample | 113 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 392 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.305 | 0.258 to 0.366 | +/- 0.054 |
| ISO | 0.158 | 0.063 to 0.215 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 6.0% | 2.6% to 7.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.4% | 35.1% to 50.6% | +/- 7.7% |
| K% | 24.4% | 19.6% to 29.7% | +/- 5.1% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 4.5% to 9.6% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.242 to 0.351 | +/- 0.055 |
vs LHP
218 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.227 |
| K% | 15.5% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |
vs RHP
337 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.194 |
| K% | 18.2% |
| BB% | 4.2% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |