Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Knizner, Andrew
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team SF
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
39
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.278 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.277 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.278 |
| Observed weight | 14% |
xwOBA
0.217
0.246
0.278
0.310
0.339
wOBA
0.241
0.290
0.344
0.398
0.447
ISO
0.052
0.095
0.142
0.189
0.232
K%
14.7%
17.6%
20.9%
24.2%
27.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.5 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing-0.5 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs-1.3 · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.0% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
52
Correct Decisions60.7% · rebadged research
10
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.314 · borderline
13
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
70
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
34
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344 · validated
80
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
27
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
22 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 259 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.277 | 0.201 to 0.339 | +/- 0.069 |
| ISO | 0.131 | 0.055 to 0.262 | +/- 0.104 |
| Barrel% | 3.2% | 1.3% to 6.5% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.6% | 25.2% to 48.1% | +/- 11.4% |
| K% | 19.9% | 16.8% to 31.0% | +/- 7.1% |
| BB% | 5.4% | 2.3% to 8.5% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.272 | 0.214 to 0.339 | +/- 0.063 |
vs LHP
291 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.165 |
| K% | 12.9% |
| BB% | 2.6% |
| Barrel | 2.5% |
vs RHP
777 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.160 |
| K% | 12.8% |
| BB% | 3.0% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |