Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
Murphy, Sean
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team ATL
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
51
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
68
Exit velocity88.5
57
Hard-hit%42.0%
68
xBA0.302
32
xSLG0.515
56
xwOBA0.281
25
BB%9.8%
67
Bat speed70.4
63
K%29.3%
19
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.1 · C
83
Catcher Throwing-1.3 · C
19
Framing Runs-1.3 · C
38
Pop Time1.9 · C
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.7 · C
12
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.6% · rebadged research
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 34.4% · rebadged research
4
Correct Decisions60.3% · rebadged research
8
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.306 · borderline
20
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · insufficient sample
94
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
65
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
33
Resists FastballwOBA 0.313 · validated
88
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377 · validated
15
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline85
5
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
60 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 133 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 396 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 17 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.313 | 0.274 to 0.371 | +/- 0.049 |
| ISO | 0.168 | 0.128 to 0.279 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 5.9% | 4.4% to 9.2% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 40.6% | 35.5% to 49.6% | +/- 7.1% |
| K% | 28.0% | 21.7% to 33.1% | +/- 5.7% |
| BB% | 9.3% | 6.4% to 12.9% | +/- 3.3% |
| BABIP | 0.258 | 0.205 to 0.306 | +/- 0.051 |
vs LHP
685 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.272 |
| K% | 21.9% |
| BB% | 9.2% |
| Barrel | 6.5% |
vs RHP
1747 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.252 |
| K% | 20.2% |
| BB% | 7.5% |
| Barrel | 5.5% |