Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts
Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Wells, Austin
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Austin Wells's tools (75) outpace production (52) by 23 points. Primary finding: high exit velocity but low barrel rate — bat-to-ball efficiency is leaving power on the table. Also flagged: Passive In-Zone Approach; Contact-Discipline Mismatch.
Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs
Protected takes / Chase riskField-coordinate spray profile
177 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 418 PA |
positive regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 496 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 20 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.311 | 0.272 to 0.367 | +/- 0.047 |
| ISO | 0.165 | 0.117 to 0.248 | +/- 0.066 |
| Barrel% | 5.9% | 4.3% to 9.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 42.4% | 36.9% to 49.8% | +/- 6.4% |
| K% | 22.9% | 19.2% to 29.1% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 5.9% to 12.1% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.269 | 0.211 to 0.301 | +/- 0.045 |
254 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.224 |
| K% | 20.7% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 3.9% |
814 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.258 |
| K% | 18.7% |
| BB% | 7.1% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |