Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Teodosio, Bryce
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team LAA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 27
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.256 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.203 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.242 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
xwOBA
0.190
0.215
0.242
0.270
0.295
wOBA
0.277
0.311
0.348
0.385
0.419
ISO
0.047
0.074
0.105
0.136
0.163
K%
23.9%
26.8%
30.1%
33.3%
36.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.8%
26
Barrel%2.7%
21
Bat speed64.0
4
Exit velocity74.8
0
Hard-hit%23.9%
6
-16 vs proj
K%31.1%
10
-22 vs proj
xBA0.259
7
xSLG0.383
11
xwOBA0.203
2
-19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength91.9 · LF
50
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Arm Runs-0.3 · LF
Limited
Range Runs2.7 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts4.0 · LF
49
Sprint Speed29.6 · LF
96
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.1% · rebadged research
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.2% · rebadged research
10
Correct Decisions64.4% · rebadged research
34
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
40
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
58
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315 · validated
90
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
32
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline91
11
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
46 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.076 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.069 |
| Sample | 74 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 276 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.279 | 0.183 to 0.317 | +/- 0.067 |
| ISO | 0.118 | 0.054 to 0.209 | +/- 0.077 |
| Barrel% | 3.3% | 0.8% to 5.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.8% | 20.7% to 39.9% | +/- 9.6% |
| K% | 25.7% | 20.0% to 35.8% | +/- 7.9% |
| BB% | 5.0% | 1.5% to 7.7% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.301 | 0.205 to 0.366 | +/- 0.081 |
vs LHP
32 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.095 |
| K% | 12.1% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 1.3% |
vs RHP
136 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.087 |
| K% | 13.1% |
| BB% | 1.3% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |